Heading into the Conference Championship games this coming first weekend of December, it really seems now that only eight FBS teams have a realistic shot of becoming national champions.
As we talked about last week, the 2018 College Football Playoff winner marketplace is as cloudy as one could expect, even with the 2017 Regular Season now in the books (for the most part for most schools) with the Conference Championship Games coming this Friday and saturday and sure to leave those game’s losers in the dust and out of making that CFP Playoffs Final Four and the two Bowl games on New Year’s Day (Rose Bowl, Sugar Bowl). And it seems that two teams—USC, if it wins the Pac-12 Championship Game on Saturday night against Stanford and unbeaten #12 Central Florida which faces #16 Memphis in the AAC Championship Game on Saturday—are probably not going to be able to do enough in the eyes of the Selection Committee even if the both win this weekend. So, it seems like a race between eight teams for 4 spots, with TCU to possibly get overlooked for a second SEC or ACC team in the mix, even if the Horned Frogs upset #2 Oklahoma on Saturday in the Big 12 Championship Game (OK -7, 63½, YouWager). And poor UCF if its wins and gets the shaft.
After losing at Stanford in Week 13 play, Independent Notre Dame fell out of the picture while everyone else on the oddsboard remained, but saw their odds change one way or another depending on last weekend’s results. After suffering its first Loss at Pitt in its Regular Season finale on Friday in week 13, Miami Florida (16/1 to win CFP National Championship, Bovada) probably ensured that the only way it will make the CFP Playoffs is by beating Clemson in the ACC Championship Game on Saturday and then getting some help, maybe in the form of TCU upsetting Oklahoma, Georgia knocking off Auburn and #8 Ohio State handing #3 Wisconsin (9/1 to win CFP National Championship, Bovada) its first Loss in the Big Ten Championship Game on Saturday, or some combination of these. It’s great for the fans now, as everyone has to keep on winning (like March Madness) and no one team has guaranteed it’s spot in that Final Four, although strangely enough, ever after losing to Auburn in the Iron Bowl, it seems Alabama (+425 to win CFP National Championship, Bovada) is closest.
Here are fresh NCAA Division I FBS Championship Game winner odds from popular Online sportsbook Bovada after last week’s upsets of then No.’s 1 and 2, Alabama and Miami Florida.
Oklahoma Sooners +400 (+500)
Alabama Crimson Tide +425 (+120)
Auburn Tigers +425 (+800)
Clemson Tigers +425 (+500)
Georgia Bulldogs +700 (+1200)
Ohio State Buckeyes +700 (+1400)
Wisconsin Badgers +900 (+1200)
Miami Florida +1600 (+800)
USC Trojans +10000 (+10000)
TCU Horned Frogs +10000 (+10000)
UCF Knights +20000 (+50000)
Auburn Passes Eyeball Test with Flying Colors, Has the Offense and the Defense to Run This Gridiron Gauntlet
The loser of the Big Ten Championship Game between the Badgers and Buckeyes won’t likely make it in, but it seems the SEC might be getting two teams in even if Auburn or Georgia wins Saturday in the SEC Championship Game. Does Auburn have to win to get in? Logic says yes. Clemson might be able to get in with a Loss, but the Tigers would probably need Nick Chubb and #6 Georgia (7/1 to win CFP National Championship, Bovada) to beat Auburn, TCU to upset Oklahoma (4/1 to win CFP National Championship, Bovada) and/or Ohio State (7/1 to win CFP National Championship, Bovada) to defeat sensational RB Jonathan Taylor and unbeaten Wisconsin to then make a theoretical Alabama-Georgia-Ohio State-Clemson Final Four. So how to approach the oddsboard? Back angry Jalen Hurts, Bo Scarbrough and the SEC’s Bama and Auburn is my theory now.
And all of a sudden, #5 Alabama and #4 Auburn seem to have golden value at +425 each now (Bovada), and the way the Plainsmen played in the Iron Bowl, it’s hard not to0 think that they are really going to make a run at this thing and with QB Jarrett Stidham, Lou Groza Award candidate K Daniel Carlson, WR Ryan Davis (69 Receptions, 5 TDs), vastly underrated RB Kerryon Johnson (1,276 Rushing yards) and RB Kam Pettway back, now would be the absolute ideal time to back Auburn in the Futures market with this team playing its best Football of the year. And could we possibly see a rematch of the Iron Bowl in the title tilt on January 8? For sure. Everyone in this field will be terrified of facing the Crimson Tide, except Auburn.Free College Football Pick: Auburn +425 Best Line Offered: at Bovada