Oklahoma State to Upset Baylor in Week 13

Steven Suarez

Thursday, November 21, 2013 2:11 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 21, 2013 2:11 PM UTC

Our upset pick comes in a Big 12 battle between two of the highly explosive offenses. Check out our college football betting inside.

Odds Overview 

The NCAA football odds keep wavering back and forth between 9.5 and 10 points, while you can find Baylor at -355 on the money-line to win straight up. Oklahoma State meanwhile is listed at +295 to win outright.

No surprise about that incredibly high total of 78 points. Baylor's games have all had high O/Us, yet the OVER has still gone 6-2-1 in matchups involving the Bears.

Baylor Bears

It was business as usual for the Bears last week as they stomped all over Texas Tech in a 63-34 victory. Coming in, Baylor was favored by 27 points, meaning they easily cashed as heavy chalk for the fourth week in a row.

QB Bryce Petty was efficient as ever, throwing for 335 yards and three touchdowns while also running for two additional scores.

Even with Lache Seastrunk and Glasco Martin out, the Bears ran the ball with ease. Shock Linwood had 29 carries for 187 yards and a score and Devin Chafin added 11 rushes for 100 yards and two trips to the end-zone.

In the passing game, Levi Norwood caught seven balls for 157 yards and two TDs, while Antwan Goodley was good for 101 yards and a score as well. Goodley now has 1085 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns on the season.

There's no doubt about it: Baylor has been special this year, ranking first in the country in total offense (an insane 684.7 yards per game) and tenth in total defense. Can they rise to the challenge again versus Oklahoma State? 

Oklahoma State Cowboys

The Cowboys continued their impressive play with another blowout win, this time on the road over Texas. They came in favored at the sportsbooks by three points and easily covered in a 38-13 victory.

QB Clint Chelf had 197 passing yards and two touchdown throws and then ran for 95 yards and two scores in another all-around stellar showing. Meanwhile, the defense gave Texas quarterback Case McCoy problems all game long, forcing three turnovers in the win.

Oklahoma State has been on quite a run since their road loss to West Virginia, winning six straight, five of which were by double-digits. They overcame Texas Tech and Texas on the road and beat Kansas State and TCU at home.

However, it's now time for the true challenge to come.

History tells us that the Cowboys have fared well in this series, but this year's version of the Bears is a lot different. Still, being at home will be a huge boost and Oklahoma State possesses the weapons to give Baylor a run for their money.

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College Football Pick 

Yeah, it's not easy picking against the nation's top offense, but this is easily Baylor's biggest test of the season so far.

The Bears haven't won in Stillwater for close to 75 years and Boone Pickens Stadium is going to be rowdy as ever for this conference showdown. 

Both teams have been terrific to back with your sports picks, as Baylor is 8-1 ATS and Oklahoma State is 7-3 ATS so far. But who gets the nod? We're going with Oklahoma State to score the upset and win their seventh straight overall.

The Bears haven't really been tested on the road – their only win of note came at Kansas State – and it's hard not to like this kind of value on a hot team like Oklahoma State in their own building. 

Free Pick: Oklahoma State Cowboys +10 and ML (+295)

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