Not Much Line Movement After Early Settling in Coming 2017-18 CFP Semifinal Playoffs

CFP National Championship

Kevin Stott

Thursday, December 14, 2017 7:07 PM GMT

Thursday, Dec. 14, 2017 7:07 PM GMT

Let’s look at the latest odds for these two games as well as anodds update to become 2017/18 FBS National Champions by virtue of winning this three-game CFP Playoffs tournament and offer up Sides picks for these two huge contests.

Georgia Move From 1-Point Open Underdog to 2-Point Favorite vs. Oklahoma Still CFP Semifinals' Biggest

As often happens in big sporting events with bigger time gaps between the date the opponents are realized and the Point Spreads (and Totals) are released and the date of the actual event there is often a fair amount of movement in the Sides, Totals and Moneyline marketplaces right when the opening odds are posted before the numbers seem to settle a bit over a 24-hour period, creating a decent-sized lull period in the betting action up until around 2 days before the event actually goes off.

No. 2 Oklahoma got to this hallowed point by beating TCU in the Big 12 Championship Game last Saturday (OK -7½, 63½), with Mayfield and the Sooners rolling to an easy SU and ATS cover, gigging the Horned Frogs, 41-17 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington as QB Baker Mayfield threw for 4 TDs as Oklahoma (8-1 SU in Big 12) jumped out to a 17-0 lead in the 1st Quarter vs. TCU and never looked back. Nick Chubb and #3 Georgia needed a win over Auburn in the SEC Championship game from the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium in atlanta that same day and the Bulldogs got it, winning 28-7 as small 1½-point Favorites (48) over the Tigers as Georgia proudly punched its first ticket to the now 4-year-old FBS Tourney.

Kelly Bryant and #1 Clemson made College Football’s Big-Little Dance by knocking off Miami Florida in the ACC Championship game last Saturday at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte as the Tigers trounced the Hurricanes, 38-3 easily covering ATS as big 12-point closing Favorites (47½) as the junior signal-caller connected on his first 15 passes for the winning Tigers, finishing with 252 passing yards and a TD before he was replaced by backup Hunter Johnson in the 4th Quarter as Clemson continues to be a Postseason money-maker, winning its 7th straight game outright as an Underdog. Yes, you read that right. Click on the link for the story and specifics.

No. 4 Alabama (11-1 SU, 5-7 ATS) needed the approval of the Selection Committee in a perceived two-team fight with the Big Ten’s Ohio State (11-2 SU, 6-7 ATS)—winner over previously unbeaten Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship Game—for the last spot, and Head Coach Nick Saban and his Crimson Tide got it, and got an exciting rematch of last year’s 2016/17 CFP National Championship Game against Clemson (2-0 ATS L2 vs ALA) and beloved Head Coach Dabo Swinney in what this new system and Postseason tournament is turning into a nice little rivalry.

Here are fresh College Football Playoff Semifinals odds along with updated odds for the 2017/18 national champions from Online sportsbook Bovada. Current odds for all of the upcoming 2017/18 Bowl games can be found here at SBR

Alabama Crimson Tide +190 (+120)

Clemson Tigers +250 (+500)

Georgia Bulldogs +333 (+1200)

Oklahoma Sooners +333 (+500)

#2 Oklahoma vs. #3 Georgia

ESPN, 5 pm EST/2 pm PST

Rose Bowl (Grass), Pasadena, California

Open: OKLAHOMA -1 — Current: GEORGIA -2 -110 — Movement: Up 3 (Favorite-flip)

Moneyline Open: -110 Both (5Dimes) — Current: GEORGIA -125 Move: ?? Up 15 cents

Total Open: 60 — Current: 60 — Movement: (Still) None

Game Link: CFP Semifinal—Rose Bowl odds link

Free College Football Pick: Oklahoma +2Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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#1 Clemson vs. #4 Alabama

ESPN, 8:45 pm EST/5:45 pm PST

Mercedes-Benz Superdome (Act Global UBU Speed S5-M Synthetic Turf)

New Orleans, Louisiana

Open: ALA -2 — Current High: ALA -3 -107 (Matchbook) — Movement: Up 1 point

Moneyline Open: ALA -125 (5Dimes) — Current: ALA -140 — Movement: Up 15 cents

Total Open: 47 — Current: 47 — Movement: (Still) None

Game Link: CFP Semifinal—Sugar Bowl odds link

Free College Football Pick: Clemson +3Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Breaking News: (Almost) Absolutely Nothing Has Happened Lately in the CFP Semifinals Odds Markets

There has actually been more movement on the lakes we can’t see on the planet Mars than there has been on these two games lately, with Alabama settling in as 2½- to 3-point Favorites in the Sugar Bowl CFP Semifinal with the Total stayed put on its opening 47 everywhere while besides the Favorite-flip and early line movement in the Rose Bowl with the players making the Bulldogs solid 2-point chalks, the only news Offshore worth reporting in the line in these two games is that The Greek (currently, Wednesday) has Georgia -1½ and Bovada-Bodog have been posting a PK for this game for the Rose Bowl CFP Semifinal, with that first game of the day’s Total also staying stagnant at 60. Everywhere, everywhere Offshore.

So we can probably expect more very small spread movement in these Side Point Spreads closer to kick off and after Christmas week, with these lines being so close to Even (Pick), that not much value is perceived by the bettors with both College Football Playoff Semifinals virtually pick-the-winner-get-your-money affairs unless one the Bulldogs or Crimson Tide were to win by 1 or 2 points at this point in time. (And while these line remain static, the popular cryptocurrency Bitcoin has swings like a kite in hurricane.) And the Totals will likely trickle up ½ to 1 to maybe even 1½ point in the Rose Bowl as this showdown is more of a perceived Passing game with Heisman Trophy-winner and gunslinger Mayfield (above) and the powerful Oklahoma Offense involved while the number in the Sugar Bowl may drop ½ to 1 point closer to game time on perceptions of a Defensive battle between Alabama and Clemson.

Slight lean to both CFP Semifinals Underdogs here because Hunter Renfrow and Clemson don’t seem to know how to lose in the Postseason and won’t be scared of Alabama this time around (v3.0) while the potent Passing attack of Oklahoma will mean rallying from a deficit is always possible against QB Jake Fromm and Georgia, who will look to pound the Rushing game through RB’s Chubb (1,175 Rushing yards, 13 TDs), Sony Michael (948 Rushing yards, 13 TDs) and Freshman D’Andre Smith (55 Rushing yards vs. AUB, 12.6 ypc, TD) as well as getting the ball to WRs Jevon Wims (638 Receiving yards, 6 TDs, 16.6 ypc) and Terry Godwin (540 Receiving yards, 6 TDs, 18.6 ypc) who have racked up the yards when catching the ball from the impressive Freshman Fromm (2,173 Passing yards, 21 Passing TDs/5 INTs, 63% Completions, below).

Mayfield (41 Passing TDs, 5 INTs) will utilize RBs Rodney Anderson (960 Rushing yards, 11 TDs) and Trey Sermon (710 Rushing yards, 5 TDs) but will look more often to Receivers like Marquise Brown (981 Receiving yards, 6 TDs, 20,0 ypc), Mark Andrews (906 Receiving yards, 8 TDs, 15.6 ypc), CeeDee Lamb (741 Receiving yards, 7 TDs, 18.5 ypc), Dimitri Flowers (411 Receiving yards, 4 TDs, 17.9 ypc) and Jeff Badet (411 Receiving yards, 3 TDs, 15.8 ypc). Expect the talented Georgia Defense (13.2 ppg Scoring Defense, #4) to try to put as much pressure on Mayfield and Oklahoma (44.9 ppg Scoring Offense, #4) as possible to limit his ability to connect on the big plays and take away the Sooners Passing game. This CFP Semifinal Rose Bowl in the Golden State could evolve into a track meet if the Sooners dictate the game’s Pace.

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