Northern Illinois vs. #20 Toledo Week 10 College Football Picks

Ross Benjamin

Monday, November 2, 2015 9:34 PM GMT

We’re going to examine Tuesday’s college football nationally broadcasted game between Northern Illinois and Toledo. Go inside to read the preview article that includes a college football pick.

Huge MAC West Division Showdown
#20 Toledo (7-0/4-0) will host Northern Illinois (5-3/3-1) at the Glass Bowl on Tuesday. The opening kickoff is slated for 8:00 PM ET and it will be televised. Current college football odds at Pinnacle have Toledo as a 7 point favorite. Northern Illinois won at home last season over Toledo by a narrow margin of 27-24, and the Huskies failed to cover as a 3.5 point favorite. As a matter of fact, Northern Illinois has won five straight in this head to head series. Each of the last three meetings between these teams has gone under the total. Toledo last came out on top against Northern Illinois during a 20-19 home win in 2009.

 

Deceiving Momentum
Northern Illinois will enter this key MAC West Division game riding a good amount of momentum. They’ve won each of their last three games while putting up gaudy offenses numbers in the process of doing so. However, those three wins came against Eastern Michigan, Miami-Ohio, and Ball State. Those teams have combined to go a dismal 5-22 this season. The Huskies have gone 1-3 on the road this year. It must be noted, two of those losses came by 7 points to #1 Ohio State and 17-14 at Boston College. They also lost 29-19 at Central Michigan.

 

Roaring Rockets
Toledo opened the season with two impressive wins, upsetting Arkansas 16-12 as a large 23.0 point road underdog, and the following week at home knocked off Iowa State 30-23. Since that time, the Rockets have gone 5-0 SU&ATS, and their average margin of victory was 26.8 points per game. Toledo has displayed a very balanced offensive attack in 2015, and their defense is allowing just an average of 16.3 points per game.

 

Final Analysis
Although both teams strength of schedule is rated virtually dead even, I feel strongly that Toledo’s overall 2015 resume is superior to that of Northern Illinois. The Rockets own wins over two “Power Five Conference” schools. The Huskies four wins over FBS opponents this season have come against teams with a cumulative record of 7-28 (.200).  They also defeated a FCS team in Murray State, and the Racers are only 2-6 this season. My lean goes to the home favorite in this game for one of my college football picks.

College Football Pick: Toledo -7 at Pinnacle

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