No Brainer College Football Picks: Grab Georgia's Chalky Odds Over Mizzou

Steven Suarez

Friday, October 16, 2015 7:42 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 16, 2015 7:42 PM GMT

The Tigers were just shut down completely by Florida and now have to travel to take on a wounded but motivated Georgia team. Let's examine the college football odds that are on offer.

Odds Overview
In all honesty, we weren't expecting to see the Bulldogs favored by such a large margin for this weekend's game. They're currently favored by 16 points across all the top sportsbooks on the college football odds board.

Obviously oddsmakers have little faith in Missouri here, particularly offensively, as the total is at just 45.5 points. The Tigers aren't expected to find much success whatsoever when they have the ball.

 

Georgia Bulldogs
After a truly dominant 4-0 start, which saw the Bulldogs crush both South Carolina (52-20) and Vanderbilt (31-14), things have gone downhill over the last couple of weeks. Georgia has lost consecutive games, falling to Alabama 38-10 (at home no less) before losing a heartbreaker (38-31) on the road to Tennessee.

To make matters worse, the Bulldogs lost Nick Chubb early in the game, and he's already been ruled out for the rest of the season. Chubb had racked up 747 rushing yards and seven touchdowns before getting injured and was widely considered one of the most dominant players in all of college football. It's a devastating blow, but the one silver lining is Georgia has an excellent "backup" in Sony Michel, who's run 63 times for 421 yards and four scores. The Bulldogs are built to run the football, and they're going to have a lot of success on the ground regardless of Chubb's injury.

All in all, Georgia's had a nice balance this season, ranking 34th in total offense and 30th in total defense, which bodes well for this visit of Missouri. Motivation will also be at an all-time high for the Bulldogs after these last couple weeks of disappointment.

 

Missouri Tigers
Though the Tigers have the same record as the Bulldogs at 4-2, spirits are even lower in Columbia, primarily because of the antics that have been going on with Maty Mauk. He's suspended indefinitely, and certainly didn't help his case by favoriting tweets that criticized Drew Lock for his performance against Florida last week.

To be fair, Lock and the entire Tigers offense did look pathetic in the 21-3 home loss to the Gators, but that doesn't excuse the childish behavior. Plus, it's not like Mauk had been playing well at all when he was eligible to play, as he completed only 51.8 percent of his passes to go with six touchdown passes (and four interceptions) in four games. Nonetheless, this is Lock's team now, and freshman is going to keep getting thrown out to the gauntlet in the competitive SEC.

It's a good thing Missouri's defense has been so good (ranked 11th in total defense), or else this spread could have been even more lopsided. Regardless, this weekend's not expected to go well for the Tigers.

 

NCAA Football Pick
Though we were initially taken aback by the large line, we've come around to the idea that the Bulldogs deserve to be such heavy favorites. Yes, they've lost two in a row, and yes they don't have Chubb leading the backfield anymore, but this is a great situation for them to get back on track with a win. They haven't been having any trouble putting points on the board, which bodes well up against a pretty tough Missouri defense, and we're having a hard time seeing the Tigers moving the ball with any kind of consistency on the road versus a motivated Georgia team.

With the home crowd behind them, we're going to be adding the Bulldogs to our collection of college football picks for the weekend. Many will be scared off by the spread, particularly since Chubb is out now, but we look for Georgia to control this game from start to finish regardless. 

College Football Pick: Georgia -14.5 at 5Dimes

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