New Mexico Lobos vs Hawaii Warriors - College Football Betting Preview - Week 9

Ross Benjamin

Friday, October 28, 2016 5:04 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 28, 2016 5:04 PM UTC

SBR contributor Ross Benjamin went 7-2 last week with his college football picks (record 23-11 68%) over the past. Join us in reading his enlightening betting preview on Saturday’s game between New Mexico and Hawaii.

 College Football Week 9 Odds: New Mexico vs. Hawaii

New Mexico and Hawaii will square off on Saturday night at Aloha Stadium in Honolulu. New Mexico edged Hawaii 28-27 last season in Albuquerque.  

The current (10/27) college football odds at BetOnline displays Hawaii as a 3.0-point favorite, and there a total of 66.0. Be sure to check out the great cash bonuses that BetOnline is presently offering.


Lobos Rushing Attack a Mismatch for Hawaii’s Run Defense

New Mexico heads into this week as the nation’s #1 offensive rushing attack. The Lobos triple option running game is churning out 374.1 yards per game and is averaging massive 6.9 yards per attempt. Despite a seldom-used passing game, New Mexico is still #18 in scoring offense at 40.0 points per contest.

Hawaii will certainly have their hands full trying to stop New Mexico’s powerful running game. The Warriors defense is allowing hefty 257.4 yards rushing per game, and that ranks 122nd out of 128 FBS teams in that category. Hawaii is also 118th in total defense, and their opponents are scoring a lofty 37.4 points per game against them.


Conference Home Woes for Hawaii

Hawaii has gone an abysmal 0-10 SU&ATS in their last 10 conference home games when they’re +9.5 to -9.5, and after facing a conference opponent during its previous contest. They lost those 10 conference home tilts by a decisive average of 15.4 points per game.


College Football Betting Angle and Pick

Hawaii comes off a shocking 34-27 upset win over Air Force last Saturday and did so as a sizable 16.5-point underdog. That victory evened their season record at 4-4. Conversely, New Mexico was a 59-17 blowout winner over UL-Monroe this past Saturday, and that came on the heels of victory at Air Force the week before. The Lobos are now a respectable 12-10 over their last 22 games.

Any road team that’s +3.0 to -3.0, playing in games 5 through 9, and they’re coming off 2 or more wins in a row, while additionally winning 10 or more of their previous 22 games, versus an opponent (Hawaii) with a win percentage of .500 or less, resulted in those road teams going 30-5 ATS since 1995. This extremely profitable betting algorithm further solidified my position, regarding taking the road underdog for one of my college football week 9 picks.

 Free College Football Pick: New Mexico +3Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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