Nebraska vs. Purdue: College Football Picks

Joe Freda

Friday, October 11, 2013 2:06 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 11, 2013 2:06 PM UTC

Find out why we are backing a Purdue cover with our college football picks in their upcoming matchup against Nebraska.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers notched their fourth win in last weekend’s 39-19 thrashing of the Illinois Fighting Illini, collecting as 8 ½-point home ‘chalk.’ Bo Pelini’s squad hits the road for the first time in Saturday’s NCAAF battle against the Purdue Boilermakers.

Take a look at SBR's College Football Picks: Opening Odds Report for Week 7.

Cornhuskers cruise in Lincoln

Nebraska leaped out to a 17-0 lead over Illinois, finishing with 24 first downs and 521 total yards. Cornhuskers running back Ameer Abdullah marched for 225 rushing yards on 20 carries, bringing in a pair of touchdowns.

Nebraska’s Tommy Armstrong threw a pair of scores, finding mates Quincy Enunwa and Kenny Bell under center. The freshman connected 8-of-13 attempts, with the Cornhuskers moving the chains at a 6-for-12 on third-down conversions.

Cornhuskers defensive end Jason Ankrah grabbed the matchup’s sole interception, with Nebraska’s defense allowing 177 passing yards (5.7 YPP). Armstrong and Co. controlled the ball for 27 minutes of possession, while the duel’s 58 combined points dipped UNDER the ‘total’ of 64.

Boilermakers lit up at home

Purdue’s latest action saw Darrell Hazell’s crew slide for a third straight loss, dropping a 55-24 affair as 3 ½-point home dogs to the Northern Illinois Huskies. The Sept. 28th battle saw Purdue commit five turnovers, while surrendering kickoff and interception returns for touchdowns.

Boilermakers quarterbacks Rob Henry and Danny Etling united for 371 passing yards, connecting a combined 24-for-55 strikes. Purdue’s DeAngelo Yancey was the duo’s favorite target, notching seven catches for a season-high 117 receiving yards.

The lopsided contest’s 79 points flew above the ‘total’ of 59 ½, lifting the OVER to 3-0 in the Boilermakers’ latest trio of matchups. Purdue was flagged for seven penalties (58 yards), while its defense gave up 402 total yards.


Back the Boilermakers as big dogs

College football odds opened Nebraska as a 13 ½-point road favorite, while first listing the ‘total’ at 60. Early NCAAF odds shifted to 14 ½ and 57 after wagers on the Cornhuskers and UNDER, respectively.

I am taking the big number here as part of Saturday’s college football picks, backing the Boilermakers at home.

Nebraska faces its first road spot here after underperforming last year away from home. Abdullah and Co. went 1-6 ATS in its seven matchups outside of Lincoln last year, giving up 39 PPG.

Purdue should get refocused after its bye week, looking back to some of its better moments of the year to stay within cashing range. The Boilermakers collected as 17-point home dogs in last month’s battle with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (ranked No. 21 at the time), losing 31-24.

Nebraska is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 contests against foes with losing records, while logging a 1-4-1 spread mark in its last six spots played on grass. Purdue has come away with cashed tickets ATS in eight of its last nine duels that followed a double-digit defeat at home, facing another inflated pointspread here after the team’s latest setback.

Look for the Boilermakers to hold their own in West Lafayette here, giving another ranked foe enough octane to cash in for our weekend sports picks.

College Football Pick: Purdue Boilermakers +14 ½ at BetOnline
comment here