NCAAF Week 9 Predictions: Best Totals Picks

NCAAF Week 9 Predictions: Best Totals Picks

In this space we take a total betting view, shining the light on several college football matchups and serve up choice bets against total NFL lines and odds.

Boston College Eagles vs. Clemson Tigers

Saturday, October 31, 2020, 12:00 PM ET

From the start of the season, the Clemson Tigers were pegged as the faves for the National Championship, and after banking a perfect 6-0 SU start on the season, they’ve certainly underscored that early favoritism. Clemson’s commanding form presents a daunting prospect for Boston College this Saturday, as the Eagles prepare to descend on the Clemson Tigers in an ACC showdown, which is hanging on a 31-point spread and projected on a 61-point total in NCAAF betting markets.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College’s 6 games
  • Under is 6-1 in Boston College’s last 7 games as an underdog
  • Under is 7-2 in Boston College’s last 9 games overall.
  • The total has gone OVER in 3 of Clemson’s 6 games
  • Over is 4-1 in Clemson’s last 5 games in October.
  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Clemson.

Trevor Lawrence is arguably the hottest college football product right now, one of several faves for the Heisman Trophy this season as well as a frontrunner for the No.1 draft pick in 2021. Lawrence leads a high-octane offense that has put up some gaudy numbers through the first six games, including Clemson’s last two games that featured a 73-7 win over GA Tech and 47-21 win over Syracuse.

Overall, Clemson’s offense has put up the most points (289) up to this point of the season and ranks fourth overall in the country with 48.2 points scored on average. Lawrence has 17 TDs, 2 INTs and he ranks fifth overall in offensive leaders this season. Defensively, Clemson is pretty solid too, allowing just 274.7 total yards (10th), 169.3 passing yards (11th) and 105.3 rushing yards (19th) with 13.5 points (12th) per game.

Boston College is flush off its most impressive offensive showing of the season, beating GA Tech 48-27. That said GA Tech is hardly in the ranks of top competition. Moreover, the last time Boston College hit the road, it wasn’t anything to write home about as they were routed by Virginia Tech 40-14 on October 17.

New quarterback Phil Jurkovec has passed for 1,671 yards and 12 TDs, 4 INT through six games. He has 3 rushing TDs to his credit as well. Boston College is modest on offense and defense has shown improvement this season under first-year head coach Jeff Hafley.

The OVER has cashed in three of the last 4 games with Clemson’s offense rounding out into top form. Boston College’s defense is no slouch (allowing an average of 25.0 points per game), but they’ve yet to face quite as complete a side as Clemson is. Thus, a small wager on the OVER is the choice NCAAF pick in this matchup.

NCAAF Pick: OVER 61 (-108) with Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Over 61(-108)
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Saturday, October 31, 2020, 3:30 PM ET

Notre Dame Fighting Irish have shown to be awfully stingy in the last few games, conceding 7 points to Louisville and a paltry 3 points to Pittsburgh. That doesn’t set up favorably for Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, who were decimated by Clemson two weeks ago in a 73-7 beatdown and 48-27 by Boston College a week later.

  • Under is 8-3 in Notre Dame’s last 11 conference games.
  • Over is 5-0 in GA Tech’s last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 5-0 in Yellow Jackets last 5 home games.

Notre Dame is coming off a 45-3 win over Pittsburgh, a hammering result that underscores a sixth-ranked defense that is allowing a measly 9.8 points per game. On the heels of that result, the Fighting Irish improved to a 5-0 SU start on the season. It’s not just the defense that NCAAF bettors should look out for, but the offense has been humming along nicely. QB Ian Book threw for 312 yards with 3TDs and WR Ben Skowronek hauled a pair of TDs to lead the Fighting Irish to the commanding win over Pittsburgh.

GA Tech slipped to a 2-3 SU mark following their latest humbling defeat to Boston College. It’s been a rough couple of weeks since their last win over Louisville. Overall, GA Tech is scoring an average of 22.8 points with an average of 396.3 yards in total offense per game, and at the same time allowing an average of 41.2 points with 479.2 total yards of offense per game.

On paper, this is a total mismatch for the Yellow Jackets. The defense has been overwhelmed in the last couple of games, especially when faced with top opposition. It’s going to have a tough time against the Fighting Irish offense, making a bet on the OVER a choice option for NCAAF betting picks.

NCAAF pick: OVER 56.5 (-110) with BookMaker (visit our BookMaker Review)

Over 56.5(-110)
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Ohio State Buckeyes - Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images/AFP

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, October 31, 2020, 7:30 PM ET

No.3 Ohio State Buckeyes are 1-0 SU going into week 9 of the NCAAF season after opening their campaign with a solid 52-17 win over Nebraska. Next up is No.18 Penn State Nittany Lions, a Big Ten showdown on the road that is being cornered in their camp wholeheartedly on the NCAAF odds board. Ohio State Buckeyes are lying 11.5 points or thereabouts and the total is projected to 63.5 points.

  • Ohio State is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
  • Ohio State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Penn State.
  • Penn State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Penn State's last 6 games.

Big Ten action was late to the party in 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic upending the college football calendar. Although not a lot has been seen from the Big Ten class of 2020, the wide consensus is that the Ohio State Buckeyes boast one of the most talented rosters in the game. Last year, Ohio State lost to Clemson Tigers in the playoffs, a result that should have them motivated this year for redemption.

Last week’s victory over Nebraska was a comprehensive win that saw Ohio State put up 491 yards of total offense, which includes 276 yards in passing and 215 yards in rushing. It’s a balanced offense that showed in just one game that they were still a contender this season. Justin Fields was sublime going 20 of 21 for 276 yards with 2 TDs and zero interceptions. The junior quarterback also led the Buckeyes in rushing, totting up 54 yards and 1 TD.

The Penn State Nittany Lions, by contrast, are coming off a loss in their first lap around college football action, a narrow 36-35 loss to Indiana. QB Sean Clifford had a solid game going 24-35 for 238 yards with 3TDs and 2 INTs, all the while leading the team in rushing with 119 yards and a score. Penn State’s defense held Indiana to 211 yards of offense in total, which included 170 yards passing and 41 yards rushing.

This is a challenging game to predict given that both teams have played just one game on the season, but given the quality of both teams it should be an intriguing contest. Both offenses are solid and can put up the points, but Penn State’s defense should give Ohio State and Justin Fields a run for their money. As such, this may well be a close contest that falls UNDER the projected total.

NCAAF Picks: UNDER 63.5 (-105) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Under 63.5(-105)
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