NCAAF Week 8: 3 Keys for Ole Miss to Upset Auburn

NCAAF Week 8: 3 Keys for Ole Miss to Upset Auburn
Matt Corral #2 of the Ole Miss Rebels on October 03, 2020 in Lexington, Kentucky. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Saturday, October 24, 2020 — 12 PM EDT at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

What Will It Take for the Rebels to Upset the Tigers this Saturday?

Ole Miss had momentum going into last week thanks to their strong offensive performance against the Alabama Crimson Tide. They finally looked like they had the pieces necessary to contend in the SEC West. However, things fell apart in their next game against the Arkansas Razorbacks. They fought to keep it close, but turnovers plagued their day from the start of the game to the finish.

The Rebels will be looking to get back on track against the Auburn Tigers. Auburn already has two losses this year, and they haven’t looked great in their wins. Bo Nix has not taken the necessary steps to progress as an SEC quarterback, and that severely limits this offense.

Lane Kiffin and the Rebels have what it takes to win, but NCAAF odds favor the Tigers. If Ole Miss wants to pull off the upset, they need to focus on these keys to victory.

The Offense Must Speed Up

Obviously, something was working against Alabama that did not work against Arkansas. It was mostly Ole Miss’s ability to go up-tempo and force Alabama’s defense to be unprepared. They caught the Tide off-guard on multiple occasions, and it opened up the rest of the playbook for the Rebels.

They went away from this type of play style against Arkansas, and it did not work. It took away the cheap plays and yards for Matt Corral, and this forced him to make more plays as a passer. Corral has potential at quarterback, but he struggled because of this lack of rhythm. Once he threw a couple of turnovers, he was completely out of sync for the rest of the game.

Lane Kiffin is a smart offensive mind. He is one of the best in college football at scheming plays. I’m sure he will take advantage of Auburn’s weaknesses in new ways. Along with those changes, he should also be looking to pick up the pace this Saturday. If this game hits the over on the points total, it is more likely for Ole Miss to win.

The Rebels Need an Answer for Seth Williams

Even if Auburn's offense isn't great, its beauty comes from their variety of weapons, many of which are hard to stop. They each bring a different skill set. In this game, Seth Williams scares me the most for the Rebels. He is a big body who can make contested catches all across the field.

This specifically helps Bo Nix. While he certainly isn’t the most accurate quarterback, he is good enough to give Williams a chance to make a play. With Williams’ strength at the catch point, Nix will usually make those big snags against Ole Miss receivers.

I think that Ole Miss should double Williams in hopes of limiting his impact. This can be dangerous with a weak defense like Ole Miss. They will almost certainly leave other people open, but I doubt that Bo Nix has what it takes to find his next reads consistently. Nix is more likely going to try and force it or scramble.

If Auburn wins, Williams will be a big reason why. Doing your best to keep him out of the equation is your best recipe for success in the top betting sites.

Limit Your Own Mistakes

When you’re an underdog, you tend to think about how you are going to impact the other team. In this game, Ole Miss just needs to get out of their own way. Both of these offenses make all sorts of mistakes, and each team will make plenty of mistakes on Saturday. Turnovers will likely be in abundance. That being said, Ole Miss simply needs to limit their own mistakes and take advantage of what Auburn gives them. Their mistakes have kept them from winning multiple games, and that can’t be the case against the Auburn Tigers.

The +3.5 point spread is dangerous with two teams that have been so unpredictable. If Ole Miss wants to cover and potentially even win this game, they will need to clean up their own mistakes. Winning the turnover battle would go a long way.

My Pick: Ole Miss +3 -105 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Ole Miss+3 -105
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