In this space we take a total betting view, shining the light on several college football matchups that could surpass expectations and go OVER projected NFL totals.
Louisville (1-4-0) vs. No. 4 Notre Dame (3-0-0)
Saturday, October 17, 2020 – 02:30 PM EDT
Louisville Cardinals are set to take on Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday, a game that is being firmly cornered with the hosts. By the college football odds, the ACC clash is a total mismatch with two teams going in opposite directions. The Fighting Irish are soaring atop the field with a perfect, undefeated record through three games, two of which were crucial conference victories.
Most recently, the Fighting Irish crushed Florida State Seminoles 42-26. Fighting Irish quarterback Ian Book passed for 201 yards and 2 TDs while running back Kyren Williams rushed for 185 yards and two touchdowns and fellow running back Chris Tyree rushed for 103 yards and a score. Not for nothing is Notre Dame’s rushing offense ranked fifth in the nation with an average of 270.7 yards per game.
Louisville Cardinals, meanwhile, are coming off a 46-27 loss to GA Tech on the road, a losing effort that saw them slip to a third straight defeat. The Cardinals did have the lead going into the fourth quarter but the Yellow Jackets reeled off 20 unanswered points to snatch the victory.
All told, the Cardinals coughed up 192 yards on the ground and 4 rushing TDs in the disappointing 46-27 loss. The OVER has cashed in three of Louisville’s last four games and they’re allowing 34.8 points per game on average. By most accounts, the Fighting Irish are poised to dismantle the Cardinals on Saturday, and if it’s remotely similar to their most recent games against Florida State, the Cardinals are in for a tough day.
Ole Miss (1-2-0) vs. Arkansas (1-2-0)
Saturday, October 17, 2020 - 03:30 PM EDT
Ole Miss is coming off a 63-48 loss to Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday, slipping to 1-2 SU on the NCAAF season. However, in spite of the shootout loss, the Rebels punched above expectations to cover as the closing +24 home underdogs. Offensively, the Rebels were firing at all cylinders: quarterback Matt Corral passed for 365 yards and 2 TDs, Kenny Yeboah had 181 yards receiving and 2 TDs and Snoop Conner rushed for 128 yards and 2 TDs.
Defense let Ole Miss down as the Rebels gave up 63 points and 723 yards in total offense to Crimson Tide. In fact, in three games, Ole Miss is leaking 51.7 points per game on average. Predictably, the OVER has cashed in all three of their games thus far, easily cracking totals of 60, 63 and 74.
Arkansas Razorbacks are coming off a narrow 30-28 loss to Auburn, slipping to 1-2 SU on the NCAAF season. The Razorbacks enjoyed a lead late in the game before Auburn snatched the win with a game-winning field goal. Quarterback Feliepe Franks passed for 318 yards and 4 TDs, while De’Vion Warren totted up 95 yards receiving and 2 TD receptions, and Trelon Smith rushed for 81 yards.
The total has gone UNDER in two of Arkansas’ last three games. Defense is modest, with the Razorbacks giving up just 27 points per game on average.
By the NCAAF odds, this matchup is being billed as a potential scoring feast between two SEC quarterbacks that are quietly making their presence felt. Lane Kiffin’s Rebels have one of the more prolific offenses that is averaging a whopping 41.7 points per game and even against a stingy Razorback defense Matt Corral should put up a lot of points. On the other hand, and Feliepe Franks can capitalize on a weaker Razorbacks defense. All things being considered, the OVER is the choice NCAAF pick here.
Duke (1-4-0) vs. North Carolina (3-1-0)
Saturday, October 17, 2020 - 03:30 PM EDT
It’s been a nightmare start for the Duke Blue Devils as they’ve burst out of the gates on a four-game skid. Quarterback Chase Brice’s interception-propensity during this poor run of form undoubtedly has factored in Duke’s unimpressive results to date.
On the whole, Brice has passed for 1,263 yards and has 5 TDs to a whopping 8 INTs. He’s also been sacked 18 times. Clearly, the pressure has been getting to the quarterback.
Most recently, Duke snapped the four-game skid behind a 38-24 win over Syracuse. Brice enjoyed a better account and passed for 270 yards and 2 TDs, while running back Deon Jackson rushed for 169 yards.
By contrast, North Carolina is enjoying a solid start to the season, improving to a 3-1-0 SU mark behind a solid 38-21 win over Virginia Cavaliers. Quarterback Devin Leary passed for 184 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT, while running back Zonovan Knight rushed for 101 yards and 2 TDs.
In the latest victory, the Wolfpack recorded their second straight win and third overall win over and ACC rival to improve to fourth-place in the conference. Previously, the Wolfpack beat the Pittsburgh Panthers 30-29. Overall, all four games for North Carolina have cracked the OVER this season.
All things being considered, the ACC clash sets up as a potentially high-scoring affair to spot for NCAAF picks at the weekend, despite both teams enjoying contrasting fortunes on the 2020 NCAAF season.
NCAAF Picks: OVER 59.5 (-108) with Heritage