NCAAF Picks: SEC Conference Ole Miss Rebels vs LSU Tigers

Ole Miss' Blue Helmets

Ross Benjamin

Friday, October 21, 2016 2:19 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 21, 2016 2:19 PM UTC

SBR college football betting expert Ross Benjamin provides us with a betting preview on Saturday’s SEC game between Ole Miss and LSU. Ross has gone an outstanding 16-9 ATS (64%) with his college football picks over the past 3 weeks at Sportsbook Review.



Another Saturday Night in Baton Rouge

The #25 LSU Tigers (3-3) will host the #23 Ole Miss Rebels (4-2) in a traditional Saturday night home game in Baton Rouge. Ole Miss won last season’s meeting in Oxford by a score of 38-17, and they easily covered as a 7.0-point favorite. LSU has won 6 of their last 7 at home against Ole Miss, and that includes the last 3 in a row. Nevertheless, Ole Miss has covered in 8 of their previous 9 trips to Baton Rouge.


College Football Week 8 Odds

At the time of this writing, college football betting odds at 5Dimes shows LSU as a 7.0-point favorite, and there’s total of 60.5. 5Dimes carries an A+ grade according to SBR's rating guide. As a matter of fact, that A+ rating makes 5Dimes one of the 5 best sportsbooks.



Pertinent Team Trends and Notes

Ole Miss has gone a stellar 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a conference underdog of 10.0 or less and won straight up on 7 of those occasions. Furthermore, if they were coming off a conference loss in their previous game, Ole Miss improved to 4-0 ATS within those exact betting parameters. The Rebels have scored 30 points or more in all 6 of their games this season.

LSU has gone under the total in each of their 6 games this season, and there were a combined 42.5 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, the Tigers have allowed 20 points or less in all 6 games. After firing longtime head coach Les Miles after an 18-13 loss on 9/24, LSU has gone 2-0 SU&ATS under interim head coach Ed Orgeron and won by exactly 35 points each time. After missing time due to an ankle injury, star running back Leonard Fournette has been upgraded to probable for this week’s game.


Betting Angle Favors Rebels

Ole Miss is coming off a 34-30 loss at Arkansas as a 10.0-point favorite. When combining that result with the current point spread, and each team’s win percentage this season, it creates a very profitable angle for a college football pick.

Any conference road underdog of 3.5 to 10.0, coming off straight up a loss as a favorite of 10.0 or more, and they have a win percentage of .300 or more, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .875 or less, resulted in those road underdogs going 35-7 ATS (83.3%) since 1991.

Remember to drop by SBR's list of the best-ranked bonuses, and find out which of the top sportsbooks is offering the top rated sportsbooks.

 Free Pick: Ole Miss +7.0Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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