NCAAF Picks: National Championship Best Player Prop Bets

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, January 11, 2015 7:03 PM GMT

It pains me to write this and I do so in protest! Why? Cause it's the last one for this 14' NCAAF season and it's always a betting bummer to see that end. Here are some player props for Monday's game.

How many push-ups will the Oregon mascot do during the game?
The 'over/under' is 147.5, with 'over' a -130 favorite and 'under' at -110. The Oregon mascot might be in better shape than most of the football players as it does push-ups for every Oregon score and the Ducks ranked second in the nation in scoring this season at 47.2 points per game. The school's high point was 62 in Week 1 against South Dakota. That doesn't mean the mascot did 62 pushups. It/he has to start at zero. So 7-0 Oregon lead means seven push-ups. A 14-0 Oregon lead means he will have done 21 total and so on. The most he's ever done was 506, when the Ducks beat New Mexico 72-0 in 2010.

NCAAF Free Pick:  Essentially this total is placed if Oregon scores 42 points, which I think it tops slightly. Go 'over.'

Read our analysis of Ohio State Offense vs.Oregon Defense

Marcus Mariota Totals
One sportsbook lists his total passing yards at over 350 at +200. Bovada offers his total passing yards as 'over/under' 296.5 ('over' a -140 favorite) with 22.5 completions, 2.5 touchdown passes, 59.5 rushing yards and 1.5 rushing touchdowns. The Heisman winner threw for 338 yards and two touchdowns in the Rose Bowl semifinal win over Florida State while rushing eight times for 62 yards and a touchdown. Be aware that Mariota will be without two of his top receivers in Darren Carrington and Devon Allen. The former was recently ruled ineligible for the game, reportedly because of a positive drug test. The latter was hurt in the Rose Bowl. Carrington has 37 catches for 704 yards and four scores. Mariota targeted him deeper down the field than any other Oregon pass-catcher. Carrington was on the end of a team-best 13 20-yard plays. Allen caught 41 balls for 684 yards and seven scores. So might that mean more dump off passes to running backs? Will Ohio State load up against the run not fearing Oregon's receivers now?

NCAAF Free Picks: 'Over' yards, completions, TD passes and rushing yards. 'Under' rushing touchdowns. I would roll the dice with that 350 number at +200.

 

Ezekiel Elliott Totals
Elliott is given an 'over/under' of 2.5 rushing touchdowns ('under' a -175 favorite) with him going over 150 yards at +125 and over 175 yards at +250 at sportsbooks. In my mind, the sophomore might be who determines whether Ohio State pulls the minor upset. Perhaps the best thing to happen to Elliott's career was the injury to starting quarterback J.T. Barrett. In the Big Ten title game rout of Wisconsin, the Buckeyes' first game without Barrett, Elliott rushed 20 times for 220 yards. In the Sugar Bowl semifinal against a terrific  Alabama defense, he was even better by rushing 20 times for 230 yards and two touchdowns, one of which was an 85-yarder late in the fourth quarter that all but clinched the game. If Elliott has another game like that, OSU probably wins and he might be your preseason Heisman favorite (with whomever is Ohio State's starting quarterback -- so not a good bet as they will steal votes from each other). Oregon has allowed an average of 156.1 rushing yards per game. That might be a tad misleading as the Ducks often get way ahead so teams have to pass more.

NCAAF Free Pick: 'Under' and Elliott stays under 125 yards. The guy is supremely talented, but I believe Oregon sells out to stop the run and make inconsistent Cardale Jones win the game with his arm.

 

The first turnover will be?
A fumble is a +120 favorite followed by an interception (-150) and no turnovers at +550. You don't really expect Mariota to throw a pick as he had only three all season, although one did come in the Rose Bowl. Jones didn't throw one in his first start vs. Wisconsin and had one against Alabama. It's very rare there's a game without a single turnover.

NCAAF Free Pick: Interception -- by Jones.

Don't miss out the action and visit our College Football Picks page today.

Which team has longest successful field goal?
Ohio State is a -135 favorite with Oregon at +105 on the college football odds board. If you watched the Rose Bowl, Oregon passed up a mid-40s yards field goal once and went for it on fourth down. The Ducks do that a lot. They employ two kickers, Adam Schneider and Matt Wogan. Both are accurate but not fairly long. The longest made kick Oregon had this season was 42 yards by Schneider. Ohio State's Sean Nuernberger is 13-for-20 on kicks this year but just 5-for-10 from 40-49  yards. His long is 49 yards. That's enough for me.

NCAAF Free Pick: Ohio State.