Trevor Lawrence Pass Completions
- Over 22½ (-125)
- Under 22 ½ (+105)
True freshman quarterback, Trevor Lawrence, will play in the biggest game of his life on Monday night and face a defense that looks remarkably like the one that he watches from the sidelines wearing jerseys that look just like his. The difference, of course, is that the guys wearing the Bama uniforms actually get to hit him. The uber-talented 19-year-old has yet to face a defense that even remotely resembles the one that awaits him on college football’s biggest stage.
Speaking of the Crimson Tide, their defense has allowed an average of 14.6 pass completions per game this season while Lawrence completes an average of 17 passes per game. The college football odds board on this prop is reflecting a rather lofty 22½ Lawrence completions against one of the most relentless defenses in the nation. I realize the Tigers might be inclined to let Lawrence do his thing and stay away from running the ball into the brick wall that is the Alabama run-stop unit. However, Clemson’s defense takes a backseat to no one and this could very well be a long, slow grind despite a total that is hovering in the high 50s.
Dabo Swinney mounted a balanced attack when his Tigers fell to the Tide 24-6 in the CFP semis last season as quarterback Kelly Bryant completed 18 of 37 while the Tigers ran the rock 33 times. Dabo could follow a similar blueprint because if he goes too pass heavy, Saban will make the necessary adjustments and the Tide defense will key on the pass and make life miserable for Lawrence. Only Arkansas’ Ty Storey and Georgia’s Jake Fromm completed more than 23 passes against Bama this season. Even Heisman Trophy winner Kyler Murray connected on only 19 passes in Oklahoma’s semifinal loss to the Tide. We will be happy to take the juice instead of pay it and include “under’ in our college football picks.
Free NCAAF Pick: Under 22½ (+105) Pass Completions for Trevor Lawrence
Travis Etienne Rushing Yards
- Over 85½ (-110)
- Under 85 ½ (-110)
Sophomore sensation Travis Etienne is a steamroller for the Clemson Tigers and when he gets the ball, he runs downhill all the way, as evidenced by the fact that he lost all of 11 yards this season. Etienne was mentioned as a dark horse Heisman candidate but he has been overshadowed by teammate Lawrence’s dazzling season. Nevertheless, the native of Jennings, Louisiana has bulldozed his way to 1572 yards for an average of 112 yards per game.
The question is, how close can he come to his per game average against one of the premier run-stop units in the nation? Well, considering Etienne has averaged over 138 rushing yards over his last three contests, it would appear that he has gotten stronger as the season has grown longer. I suspect Swinney will do his level best to take some of the pressure off of Lawrence and give Etienne a sizeable share of the offensive workload on Monday night. Let’s go over in this one.
Free NCAAF Pick: Over 85½ Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne