College Football Parlay Predictions, Odds Week 9: Will Penn State Defense Dominate Hoosiers?
We scour the NCAAF odds every week to construct a three-leg college football parlay with a nice return, and we went back to the drawing board with our college football parlay predictions for Week 9. All our college football picks shop for the best odds from our best sports betting apps.
Last week if you faded our plays you would have cashed a three-leg wager that paid close to 5:1 odds, but we remain undeterred.
The first leg of Week 8's parlay was doomed before the game even started, as Air Force quarterback Zac Larrier's injury definitely didn’t help the Over. We also suffered a head-scratching loss in the third leg of our parlay, with Minnesota failing to cover a +3.5 first-half point spread despite ultimately beating Iowa outright 12-10.
It’s bounce-back time in Week 9, and we’ve built another three-leg parlay at FanDuel with a potential payout of +564.
To accompany our college football Week 9 predictions and college football best bets, here are our best college football parlay predictions and odds for Week 9 (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
College football parlay predictions: Week 9
(Odds via FanDuel)
- Florida State-Wake Forest Under 53 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Indiana Team Total Under 6.5 vs. Penn State (-113) ⭐⭐⭐
- Iowa State ML vs. Baylor (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +564 via FanDuel
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College football parlay Week 9
Florida State-Wake Forest Under 53 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Florida State has scored 31 or more points in every game during a 13-game winning streak, but we do not expect much more from its offense this week. The Seminoles will likely sleepwalk through a noon kickoff against ACC bottom-feeder Wake Forest, whose 162 points scored are the fewest among ACC schools.
Wake Forest has averaged 15.5 points through four ACC games, with its low point coming in a recent three-game losing streak where it scored just three offensive touchdowns and was held to 275 or fewer yards in two of the three games. Meanwhile, Florida State shut out Duke in the second half of last week's win and held Blue Devils quarterback Riley Leonard to a season-low 69 yards and a 43.8% completion rate before he left with an injury.
That came on the heels of a dominant performance against Syracuse, where it held the Orange to three total points and 261 yards.
The Seminoles should not have to do much offensively in the second half after building a big early lead, and we expect Mike Norvell to call off the dogs and keep everyone fresh for its in-state showdown with Miami in two weeks.
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Indiana Team Total Under 6.5 vs. Penn State (-113) ⭐⭐⭐
Penn State was deprived of a College Football Playoff appearance last year because of the roadblocks that Michigan and Ohio State caused. Since the start of last season, the Nittany Lions are 0-3 against the Top 2 Big Ten teams, averaging 20 points per game while allowing 35 per contest. However, against all other teams in that span, Penn State is 17-0 and has won those games by an average score of 40.2-11.8.
Penn State is 12-0 ATS in its last 12 games as favorites, and we expect it to dominate an Indiana team that is last in the Big Ten in scoring (17.9 points per game). The Hoosiers entered their game against Rutgers tied with Northwestern for the conference's fewest yards per carry (3.1). And while Indiana had more success in theory with its 5.3 yards per carry average against the Scarlet Knights, it was all for naught since it possessed the ball for 22:22 after allowing 276 rushing yards.
Penn State shut out Indiana the last time the Hoosiers visited Happy Valley, and a similar result should be in order against a frustrated Nittany Lions team that is looking to shake off last week's loss to the Buckeyes.
Iowa State ML vs. Baylor (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Baylor was one of our successful upset picks last week, but they are a fade at home this week, as we agree with the line movement that has gone against them thus far. This point spread has jumped the fence at all our best sports betting sites, from Baylor -1.5 to Iowa State -2.5.
Bears quarterback Blake Shapen ranks dead-last among all Big 12 quarterbacks with a 45.1 Total QBR (97th among FBS quarterbacks), while Iowa State's Rocco Becht ranks in the Top 50 in that metric. And we have much more faith in the Cyclones defense, which ranks 38% in overall success rate, a mark they have ended each of the last six seasons with, per Baylor beat writer Travis Roeder. Furthermore, Iowa State's passing downs success rate is on pace to be even better than last year, when their defense led the conference in fewest passing yards allowed per game (178.3).
Iowa State is battle-tested for this road contest, having played the 11th-toughest schedule according to ESPN FPI. Meanwhile, the Bears have been out-gained by five consecutive FBS opponents and should not be overvalued after a road win against a poor Cincinnati team still searching for its first Big 12 victory.
College football parlay picks made 10/23/2023 at 6:52 p.m. ET.
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