Alabama A&M vs. MVSU FCS Spring Week 11 Picks

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Alabama A&M vs. MVSU FCS Spring Week 11 Picks
Aqeel Glass #4 of the Alabama A&M Bulldogs throws a pass. Justin Casterline/Getty Images/AFP

The FCS season continues to endure despite COVID-19 delays, cancellations and concerns. We’re nearing the completion of the spring season and the playoffs are right around the corner. The playoff bracket is shaping up to feature several must-watch games and sports betting opportunities.

As always we have you covered for the best FCS picks and predictions. We’re focusing on one of the biggest lines of the week as the 4-0 Alabama A&M Bulldogs travel to face the 1-3 Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils. This matchup doesn’t have the zeal of a ranked battle but the three-score line can help us profit. 

Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Saturday, April 24, 2021 – 04:00 PM EDT at Rice-Totten Stadium

How Alabama A&M Covers

The SWAC football champions locked in their seventh overall East Division title, and first in a decade. They've been dominant through the air thanks to senior quarterback Aqeel Glass and senior receiver Zabrian Moore. Each week has featured huge stat lines from the dynamic duo.

The Bulldogs are different than most of the top FCS teams because their passing game is efficient and explosive. Few teams have the experience the Bulldogs do at the QB position and it could be a big factor come playoff time.

It certainly will sway how this week's game is decided. The 6'5", 215-pound passer was the conference leader in completions, attempts, yards, and was second in touchdowns and completion percentage last year. He's a dynamic threat who is receiving some NFL interest as a developmental signing. 

Their offense has blitzed every team they've faced thus far. With three straight games over 31 points, including a 52-point outburst against Jackson State, it's fair to expect they'll go into overdrive against the woeful Delta Devils. Glass should use this opportunity to show out before the playoffs.

The defense has another star they can unleash in junior Marcus Cushine. He's coming off a two-sack performance, and is poised to overwhelm smaller and less athletic blockers again. This team has a good balance of experience all over the field, and can keep opposing offenses under 150 total yards.

How MVSU Covers

The bigger challenge is for the Delta Devils to keep this game respectable. Their lone win was a forfeit, and were blown out against Jackson State and Alabama State. Their seven-point loss against Arkansas - Pine Bluff was encouraging but a battle of bad teams.

The Delta Devils try to enforce their will in the run game and have outrushed their foes on the season. But that advantage hasn't reflected itself on the scoreboard. The average score of their games is 36-14. 

The crux of their issue is the passing offense and defense. With 374 passing yards produced and 865 yards allowed, there's almost no margin for error available for the team. There's too much pressure on the defense and run game to be excellent.

Being so massively outgunned against high-octane offenses, mitigating the damage the opposition can do is key. Forcing turnovers is hard and the Delta Devils don't do a great job of making defensive plays. It's their only chance to cover the number posted by sportsbooks this week.

The Pick

With 20.5 points getting us real value at plus-100 return, it's an easy decision to go for the big play for our NCAAF picks. The Bulldogs are the rare team actually three-scores better than their foe. And their strengths can quickly pile up points and create chunk plays. It's possible the Delta Devils control the ball for two-thirds of the game and still get ran out of their own stadium.

The total is set at 59 but it's impossible to feel confident in MVSU holding up their end of the bargain. We'll pass on the total and take the spread instead. 

Free NCAAF pick: Alabama A&M -20.5 (+100) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Bulldogs -20.5(+100)
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.