Top 6 Ranked CFP Teams All Survive Week 12; Conference Championship Games Clearing

Kevin Stott

Sunday, November 18, 2018 2:22 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 18, 2018 2:22 PM UTC

It was another business as usual Saturday for the top teams in the CFP rankings with only #7 West Virginia stumbling with a late loss at Oklahoma State.  And No . 1 Alabama shook off a sleepy 1st half to topple The Citadel in what some deemed “SEC Cupcake Week.”

Top Contenders in NCAAF Playoff Rankings All Hold Serve Again on Saturday

Oh what a rude Saturday morning if you laid the lumber with the Crimson Tide (-53) and woke up to see #1-ranked Alabama tied with FCS side Citadel, 10-10 at halftime. In Tuscaloosa. After shutting out powerhouses (then-ranked) #3 LSU (29-0) and #16 Mississippi State (24-0). They always say, “May you live in interesting times,” but screw that noise Bubba Gump. When the world’s on fire and Coffee-mate is the newest currency of the land, then perhaps it should come to no surprise to anyone that the Bulldogs, who would be putting a slight scare into the precious CFP rankings, would be from Citadel and the mighty Southern Conference on “SEC Cupcake Day” and not the Dawgs from Georgia in the SEC title tilt. I’ve seen the future and it will be. Hey, y’all FBS elitists call us “cupcakes” and we’ll scare the living bejesus out of you.

After getting yelled at by head coach Nick Saban in the locker room, Alabama proceeded to score the next 27 points (in 3Q) and went on to a 50-17 win, but it was The Citadel bettors who were able to order pizza on Saturday after covering ATS the entire way.

No. 2 Clemson (-30) hosted Duke, and after leading 14-6 at Half at Home in Death Valley, Tyler Lawrence, Aunty Em,! Aunty Em! and the Tigers rallied to top the Blue Devils, 35-6 in ACC action while #3 Notre Dame — adorned in Yankee pinstripes — got its (QB Ian) Book back and ran out to a 20-0 lead at Yankee Stadium vs. #12 Syracuse en route to a 36-3 victory in The House That Ruth Built to stay in the hunt for either a Orange or Cotton bowl berth on Dec. 29.

No. 4-ranked Michigan (-28) rallied from a 17-15 deficit at half vs. Indiana at The Big House in Ann Arbor, MI in an eventual 31-20 Wolverines win in Big Ten play while #5 Georgia throttled overmatched UMass, 66-27 (GEO -41½) in a non-conference “Cupcake Week” game for the Dawgs in Athens in a game which actually saw the Minutemen (also) score in every quarter (7-6-7-7). And in Big 12 play on Saturday night, Tyler Murray and #6 Oklahoma defeated Kansas in Norman (OK -35), winning 55-40. The Sooners will play #7 West Virginia — a late 45-41 loser at Oklahoma State (WV -6) — in the Big 12 title tilt on Dec. 1 in a game now way more important to the Sooners who look to keep their feint CFP hopes alive.

So, for a second straight week, there should be very little change, if any, high (1-6) atop the fresh CFP Top 25 rankings set to be unveiled on Tuesday night (ESPN, 7 pm ET/4 pm PT) with only Will Grier and West Virginia really stubbing its’ cleated toes.

A Few Bets You Wish You Had (The Easy Money)

Here were some of the easiest NCAAF Week 12 Sides and Totals winners on the FBS and FCS betting boards:

  • MEMPHIS-SMU 1st Half Under (38½, 5Dimes) was strangely easy, with the Tigers up 7-5 at Half on Friday at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas in an AAC game that saw Memphis win 28-18, under the closing Total by 39 points (75).
  • #13 FLORIDA easily covered the 1st Half line (-27) against IDAHO with the Gators leading 49-0 at the break and going Over the 1H Total itself (-36½). Florida (-41½) ended up trouncing the Vandals, 63-10 in Gainesville.
  • ST. FRANCIS (PA)-SACRED HEART Under (42) came easy with the Pioneers defeating the Red Flash, 13-7 in FCS play. Sacred Heart was giving 7½ or 8 points, so, St. Francis got the money at Campus Field in Fairfield, CT.
  • COLORADO ST 1st HALF over #23 UTAH STATE (+18½) was also surprisingly easy, with the Rams holding the high-octane Aggies (48.9 ppg, #2 heading in; OK #1 at 49.0) in check over the first 30 minutes of play in a flurried Colorado Springs in an MWC game that saw USU take a 10-7 lead into the locker room.
  • MARYLAND-OHIO STATE Over (61½) went Over by 41½ points as the Buckeyes held on 52-51 in OT after the Terrapins missed a 2-point conversion on a rushed pass with a receiver open in Big Ten play in College Park, MD.

A Really, Really Bad Money Line Beat...for About a Minute?

COLORADO STATE Money Line (40/1, 5Dimes) looked like it had pulled off the miraculous upset against unbeaten and #23 UTAH STATE on a Hail Mary to WR Preston Williams looked to make it CSU 30-29, but further review showed that Williams had (barely) stepped out of bounds, preserving the Aggies perfect season and trek toward a possible MWC Conference Championship Game showdown against Fresno State on Dec. 1. USU won 29-24 at Sonny Lubick Field in Colorado Springs and closed as big 29½- to 30-point chalks Offshore.

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— Mountain West Wire (@MWCwire) November 17, 2018
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Current ATS Top Cat and King Rat

Top Cat: Washington State (9-1-0 ATS*, 90%)

King Rat: Louisville (1-10-0 ATS, 9.01%)

*Into Washington State's late Saturday night game vs. Arizona (WSU -10)

Potential FBS Conference Championship Games Matchups

Projected Top 10 College Football Playoff Rankings
  1. Alabama
  2. Clemson
  3. Notre Dame
  4. Michigan
  5. Georgia
  6. LSU
  7. Oklahoma
  8. Washington State
  9. Central Florida
  10. Ohio State

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