#1 Alabama, #2 Clemson, #4 Notre Dame all Win on Saturday, #3 LSU Buried in Death Valley?

Kevin Stott

Sunday, November 4, 2018 11:02 AM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 4, 2018 11:02 AM UTC

After losing to mighty Alabama in the most-anticipated game of the SEC and FBS Regular Season in Baton Rouge on Saturday night, #3 LSU will now need a miracle it seems with #2 Clemson, #4 and Independent Notre Dame, #5 Michigan, #6 Georgia and #7 Oklahoma all prevailing in NCAAF Week 10 play.

Alabama Does its Best Impression of an NFL Team at LSU on Saturday Night in SEC Showdown

It’s suddenly that time of year when the Heisman Trophy race seems over, early week MACtion play has begun, many teams are thinking about Bowl eligibility and things start to taking shape for the two CFP Semis—the Cotton and Sugar bowls this year—with maybe eight to 10 teams realistically in the running for the four spots.

NCAAF Week 10 began on Tuesday night with some MACtion which means that many Turkeys will soon die for a future Thursday and at 9:53 am PDT I saw a dude named “Pass” throw a pass to the other team for an easy pick-6 and thought perhaps he should change his name before realizing he’s be simply better off changing the team he was throwing the football to. Anyway, the first Saturday of November, despite a plethora of huge games which we’ve all been waiting for (Michigan-Penn State, Georgia-Kentucky, Washington-Stanford, Alabama-LSU), seemed to be a bit anticlimactic. This is why we bet. Sometimes the steak needs a little seasoning.

No. 4 Notre Dame-Northwestern provided to be a pretty good game on Saturday evening with Ian Book and the Fighting Irish heading into nearby Chicagoland and the city of Evanston—home of the American Toby Jug Museum, the Dermatology Foundation headquarters and a Lou Malnati’s Pizzeria—to eventually cage the Big Ten’s Wildcats, 31-21 (ND -10) and keep their chances of making a CFP Semifinal game alive with three games left on the Fighting Irish schedule.

ND will be all over the place in Weeks 11-13, hosting Florida State in front of Touchdown Jesus in South Bend next Saturday (NBC, 7:30 pm EST/4:30 pm PST) and then heading to Yankee Stadium in Week 12 (Nov. 17) to face Syracuse in The Bronx (NBC, 2:30 pm EST/11:30 am PST; ND 5-2 ATS L7) before heading across the coast in Week 13 (Nov. 24) to Lalaland to tangle with the Pac-12’s USC at the LA Memorial Coliseum (ND 2-6 ATS L8 at USC). Be there or be square.

Some Bets You Wish You Had (The Easy Money)

Here were some of the relatively easy-money NCAA Football bets from FBS and FCS for their backers in Week 10:

  • MIAMI OHIO-BUFFALO Over (53) was a breeze on Tuesday with the Bulls up 28-21 at Halftime and the first TD in the 3Q putting the game Over in MACtion in an eventual 51-42 Buffalo win in a game that which went over by 39 points.

  • UCF-TEMPLE Over (60) was even breezier on Thursday with the game already Over at Halftime (by 2 points) with the Owls up 34-28 in a game they’d eventually lose to the Golden Knights (USF -10) by a 52-40 Final as UCF won its 20th straight game. ESPN gives UCF 0.01% chance to make the CFP final four.

  • MEMPHIS-EC 1Q Over (14) bettors could be head laughing after a 7-7 score just 3:41 into the game. A Tigers FG at the 7:21 mark made it 10-7 to bring the butter in a game that was 24-17 at Halftime and ended with Memphis winning, 59-41.

  • JACKSONVILLE-BUTLER Over (57) was almost there at Half (JAX 28 MAR 27) with the Dolphins up 1 in an FCS game that saw Jacksonville win, 48-44.

  • CLEMSON (77) went over the closing game Total (61, 5Dimes) itself (by the end of the 3Q) in a 77-16 pasting of host Louisville in ACC play on Saturday.

  • OLE MISS-SO CAROLINA Over (69) looked steep on the betting board, but by the 3Q this SEC game had 54 points scored by Half (27-27) and ended 23 points Over in a 48-44 Gamecocks win in Starkville

  • DUQUESNE-WAGNER Over (56) was another easy winner with 50 by the end of the 3Q and 27 more in the 4Q in a 47-30 Dukes win vs the visiting Seahawks.

  • EM-CM Under (46½) was pretty easy with just 14 points at Half and then only 10 more in the 2H in a 17-7 Eagles win in Ypsilanti in MACtion on Saturday.

  • FCS #11 COLGATE (-31) raced out to a 31-0 lead at Half—pushing in some books—then played in a 0-0 3Q before outscoring host Fordham 10-0 in the 4Q en route to a 41-0 win in FCS and Patriot League play Saturday. The Raiders scored the ATS-covering TD 37 seconds into the final frame and a Colgate FG from 34 yards out with 3:58 to play helped the low Total offered at a couple of Offshore books (40, 5Dimes, Heritage) trickle Over.

  • JACKSON STATE Money Line (+300, 5Dimes) upset Prairie View A&M, 34-28 in FCS and SWAC play on Saturday in a result which would have made alumni and NFL Hall of Famers Walter Payton (Bears), Jackie Slater (Rams), Robert Brazile (Oilers) and Lem Barney (Lions) all blue, white and gray Tiger proud.

  • TEXAS STATE Money Line (+245, Intertops) upset host Georgia State, 40-31.

  • HOWARD Money Line (+200, Heritage) continues to be a M/L darling, beating Florida A&M outright, 31-23 on Saturday as 56-point underdogs.

  • TULANE Money Line (+187, Bookmaker) upset South Florida, 41-15, winning outright as 6-point Road underdogs at Tampa in AAC play on Saturday.

  • ARIZONA STATE Money Line (+255, 5Dimes) upset #16 Utah in Pac-12 play on Saturday afternoon in Tempe, 38-20 in a game where Utes QB Huntley was hurt..

  • LIBERTY-UMASS Over (67) was already Over the Total after 4Q of play at 45-45, but 176 more points by the Minutemen in 3 OT periods topped the Flames’ 14 in a 62-59 triple-OT (UMASS) Final that went Over by 54 points.

  • SMU Money Line (+465, 5Dimes) upset Ed Oliver and #17 Houston, 45-31.

  • LAMAR Money Line (+550, Heritage) upset CENTRAL ARKANSAS in FCS play, 28-24, winning outright as high as 15-point Road underdogs, 38-24.

A Bad Beat of Sorts For New Mexico State -12, -12½ Backers...
  • NEW MEXICO STATE (-12½) backers may have had the worst ride on Saturday with the Aggies riding out to a 35 -7 lead in the 2Q, covering ATS by 15½ points before seeing FCS side Alcorn State rally t0 get within 38-35 in the 4Q before seeing—and covering ATS by 9½—before the Aggies answered with two TDs in a span of 3:06 to go up 52-35 only to see the Braves score with 26 seconds to go ona 12-yard TD pass to make it a 52-40 after a seemingly improbable 14-play, 96-yard drive to get the ATS cover by ½ with the XP.


The Pure Strangeness of What Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa Has Really Done...

The idea of a guy who hadn’t played in the 4th Quarter in the Regular Season possibly winning the Heisman Trophy Award was mind-boggling on so many fronts when you really try to process it:

  • There were odds before Alabama’s opener who the starting QB would be.

  • Being in a position to not even have to play in the 4th Quarter was strange.

  • Not having to play in the 4Q until Saturday night would seem to statistically hamper a Heisman Trophy Award candidate; not Tagovailoa who has 27 TD passes, 0 Interceptions and the best FBS QBR ever.

  • It (not playing in 4Q for a probable Heisman winner) for so long had never happened before and will never happen again. That was the real definition of “unprecedented.”

  • Having a great 2nd string QB (Jalen Hurts) made all of that possible. Hurts has gone 25-2 as a starter (92.6%) for the Crimson Tide in his stellar career.

  • “Remember Alabama has never had to make a pressure Offensive series in the season.” —Gary Danielson

Alabama Football Social Media

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There goes Tua! (via @CBSSports) #OutworkYesterday#RollTidepic.twitter.com/fTaXXPX3mu

— Alabama Football (@AlabamaFTBL) 4 de novembro de 2018
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With three of the best players (jersey No.’s 13, 4 and 92) ever seen on the same Roster in QB Tagovailoa, liquid WR Jerry Jeudy (31/777/10 into LSU) and omnipresent DL Quinnen Williams—all Sophomores to boot—it’s hard to see this Alabama version stalling with two of the best QBs ever on the same FBS Roster, great Receivers in the aforementioned Jeudy, fellow WRs DeVonta Smith, Jaylen Waddle and Henry Ruggs III and TE Irv Smith Jr., solid RBs in Damien Harris, Josh Jacobs and the two tested QB’s along with one of the best Defenses in the nation (15.9 ppg, #10), who shut out the Tigers, 29-0 (ALA W8 SU vs LSU) in their own den in a huge SEC game which has massive CFP implications. Tua and the Tide will be hosting #18 Mississippi State in Week 11 in another tough SEC West Division test (CBS, 3:30 pm EST/12:30 pm PST).

  • LIKELY CFP TEAMS AFTER NCAAF WEEK 10: Alabama, Clemson, Notre Dame, Michigan
  • FIRST 5 WANTING IN THE CFP: Georgia, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Ohio State, Washington State
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