NCAAF Betting: Ten Teams That You Might Be Counting On But Are Simply Overrated

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Doug Upstone

Saturday, August 6, 2016 6:05 PM GMT

If you are betting college football this upcoming season, here is a handy list of teams that if wagered on continually, could send alerts to your cell phone your account is overdrawn.

These are teams that are either somewhat highly thought of nationally or within their respective conferences, who are not as good as advertised. In making college football picks, you can expect at least seven of these teams to have losing spread records at this juncture.

 

Here is our list of ATS clunkers in alphabetical order.

1) Akron - Akron won eight games, including bowl game last year. Reality calls to a program that is hardly a juggernaut and with just a half dozen starters returning for coach Terry Bowden, the college football odds of repeating winning campaign and 7-4-1 ATS are slim.

 

2) Auburn - After two mediocre seasons, Auburn is made up of mostly Gus Malzahn recruits and the team picture is not pretty. Malzahn has not brought in the kind of players to run his offense and defensively, there is a mixture of elite and pedestrian talent which has not meshed.

 

3) Bowling Green - The Falcons are defending MAC champs, but this kind of head coaches usually head for greener pastures (money), which Dino Babers did. Bowling Green has only 10 starters back in the fold and besides games at Ohio State and at Memphis, in the middle conference play, four of five are on the road.

 

4) Cincinnati - Gunner Kiel is back at Bearcats quarterback, but only three other offensive starters return to offense. Cincy has a new offensive coordinator in Zac Taylor from the NFL, which changes the offense from going down the field as often. Watch for 'Cats slippage in 2016.

 

5) Georgia - Not saying Georgia falls dramatically as Kirby Smart looks like a good hire. The starting 22 look like they could compete in the SEC East, but there is a real lack of depth and if anticipated injuries pile up just as normal, what kind of drop off will occur?

 

6) Mississippi - Hugh Freeze has done a superb job of bringing in some of the finest talents in the country at selective positions. Unfortunately, that does not often transfer well over 12 games. Last year's 10-3 club was high water mark, expect a regression this season.

 

7) North Carolina - The Tar Heels led the nation in yards per play last season at 7.28, but have a new quarterback and new offensive coordinator. With a still at best ordinary defense crew, North Carolina could easily slip below preseason expectations.

 

8) Ohio State - The Buckeyes by season's end will be a quality club, but no way is this the No. 5 team in the country (Coaches Poll) to start the year with only six total starters back and slew of talent in the NFL from the last few years.

 

9) UCLA - Though coach Jim Mora is 37-16 at UCLA, what has he won? Despite an ample amount of NFL talent on both sides of the ball, the Bruins never quite live up to expectations like the college football odds found at Heritage. What have you to ask yourself is anything really going to change?

 

10) Western Kentucky - You just do not replace QB Brandon Doughty, holder of various Western Kentucky school records and just march along. College football mags, Lindy's, Sporting News and ESPN picked the Hilltoppers to win C-USA East, but with only four defensive starts returning, WKU is a bad bet.