NCAAF Betting - Massive Dent For Cougars' CFP Chances After Week 6 Loss

Kevin Stott

Sunday, October 9, 2016 5:51 PM UTC

Sunday, Oct. 9, 2016 5:51 PM UTC

With Greg Ward and #6-ranked Houston falling 46-40 at Annapolis in week 6, the realistic chances that a group of conferences will make the CFP this year were badly hurt. Let’s see what we learned this weekend west of the Mississippi River and look for a value-laden Futures Book pick.

Houston Loss To Navy On Saturday A Good Thing For The Power 5 Conferences

So what exactly did we learn in NCAAF Week 6 from schools who play west of The Big Muddy? We learned that #6 Houston (14/1 to win NCAA Championship, 5Dimes) has been vastly overrated, with the Cougars losing outright as 16-point underdogs (Bookmaker) in Annapolis as Navy worked their option to perfection while the Midshipmen's defense stood up to the high-powered Houston offense to get a 46-40 win and really hurt the Group of 5 conferences chance of getting a team in the CFP.


We also learned some schools in The Lone Star State known for football didn’t look too good with TCU and Texas both suffering losses that pretty much make both of their seasons duds. The Horned Frogs—23-3 SU the L2 years—edged lowly Kansas, 24-23 as 29-point favorites at Lawrence on Saturday in a game which was close the entire way. TCU (1-5 ATS) fell to 3-3 SU and this Big 12 team in not close to being the same beast it was.

And Texas Head Coach Charlie strong fired his Defensive Coordinator last week, took responsibility of that role Saturday and the Longhorns (3-2 ATS) promptly allowed 672 yards to #20 Oklahoma at the Cotton Bowl in the highest-scoring Red River Shootout ever, won by the Sooners, 45-40, as RB Samaje Perine (214 yards, 2 TDs) and WR Dede Westbrook (232 yards, 3 TDs) had monster days for Oklahoma (1-4 ATS), which despite all the production, failed to cover ATS as 11½-point chalks—although the Sooners covered ATS in the SuperBook Games of the Year (OK -2).


Washington Looks Better Every Week, May Be The Second-Best Team In Nation Now

No. 5 Washington (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) went into Autzen Stadium in Eugene Saturday and made soup out of Oregon, 70-21 in a Pac-12 rivalry in which the Ducks had gotten the money of late, covering 5 straight times and going 6-1 ATS the L7 at Home in the series. The Huskies (16/1 to win NCAA Championship, 5Dimes) are now 54-41-1 ATS (56.8%) since 2009 and the big game left on the schedule for QB Jake Browning and Washington is in the Regular Season finale on Nov. 25 at Martin Stadium and rival Washington State in The Apple Cup (WASH -10, 2016 Games of the Year, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook).


NCAAF College Football Futures Book Picks: Washington -10½ over Cal, 2016 Games of the Year (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), Washington to win CFP Championship 16/1, (5Dimes)
NCAAF Picks Record: 9-3-0


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