NCAA Football - Top Play Of Week 5 - South Florida vs Cincinnati

Cincinnati Bearcats QB

Friday, September 30, 2016 8:39 PM GMT

Sports handicapper Ian Cameron Is back to provide his Play Of The Week for College Football Week 5 action. From the big card at hand, he selected one game that has plenty of betting value that no sharp bettor can afford to miss.

 

South Florida Bulls vs Cincinnati Bearcats

South Florida and Cincinnati do battle in an AAC matchup on Saturday--the conference opener for both teams and I expect the two offenses to have the better of it. The Bulls (-5 favorites across the betting board) have been rolling along quite efficiently with their uptempo, run-based spread offense and scored 35+ points in all four games this season including games against teams like Florida State, Syracuse, and Northern Illinois. They’ve averaged over 7 yards per play and face a Bearcats defense that in two games against their toughest competition this season Houston and Purdue allowed 500+ total yards. 

USF has scored at least 35 points in eight consecutive games and has compiled at least 200 rushing yards in nine straight games dating back to last year. Even in last week’s narrow 230-20 win against Miami (OH), the Bearcats yielded 313 total yards and I’m not sure I trust Cincinnati to neutralize South Florida’s balanced offensive attack in this game which carved up the Bearcats for 65 points on 573 total yards last season. QB Quinton Flowers and RB Marlon Mack had a field day against Cinci’s defense last season and I think both are poised for more success moving the football here. 

On the flip side, the South Florida defense came completely unglued against Florida State last week getting gashed for 55 points on 647 total yards. The Seminoles averaged 7.6 yards per carry and 8.9 yards per pass in that game against the Bulls defense. Even in the 45-20 win against Syracuse, South Florida’s defense struggled to get stops allowing 549 total yards to the Orange at a 5.3 yards per play clip. 

Cincinnati QB Hayden Moore was a late scratch prior to last week’s game against Miami (OH) with an ankle injury but head coach Tommy Tuberville says there is a good chance that Moore will return for this game. The Bearcats have a solid dual RB tandem with Tion Green and Mike Boone and two good receivers in Devin Gray and Nate Cole. I expect Cincinnati should be able to move the football in this game and put up points in this game with their offense averaging 5.7 yards per play on the campaign. For my college football pick, I think we have a reasonable number here to bet up and Over the total.

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CFB POW Record: 3-1 75%

 

Free NCAAF Pick: Over 63 -110 
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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