NCAA Football Predictions Week 6 - Washington vs Oregon

Washington Huskies Player Celebrates

Tuesday, October 4, 2016 4:13 PM GMT

Chris Petersen and the Huskies have played their way into CFP contention but face a tough road trip to Oregon as favorite of more than a touchdown on the NCAA football odds.

 

As previously noted, it's good I've acquired a taste for crow since I eat it with regularity. Take the case of Chris Peterson, head coach of the 5th-ranked Washington Huskies.

Nearly three years ago when he departed Boise State for Washington, I was among those who didn't think it was a great career move for Petersen. While it's understandable if he wanted to leave for a truly elite program, going to Seattle to take over the Huskies didn't sound like the right place.

A couple of middling seasons that included a 8-10 Pac-12 record and season-opening loss to Boise State last year seemed to support my initial thoughts, but it was a genius move by the looks of how things are going in 2016. Now comes a huge road game for U-Dub with a short trek down I-5 to Eugene against the Oregon Ducks. Saturday's 7:30 PM (ET) boot can be seen on the big FOX and Washington is a 7½ point favorite at Bookmaker, ranked amongst SBR's Best Sportsbooks, after opening -8, scoreboard bettors looking at 68½ for a total.

 Ducks Aim For Upset & 13th-Straight Win Vs. Washington...

At first glance at the Border War, Washington's 58-45-5 record really pops out. But the rivalry has completely belonged to Oregon for more than a decade now with the Ducks winning the last dozen meetings, covering nine of 10 with a push in 2010 the only time in that span they haven't beaten the NCAA football odds.

Washington was favored by 2½ to stop the skid last year at home only to fall behind 13-0 early and never recover in a 26-20 final that was never really close to a 59 point total. The Huskies had a chance late to put together a game-winning drive, but backup QB KJ Carta-Samuels threw an interception that sealed it for the Ducks.

The last time Washington left Autzen Stadium with a dubya was 2002, a game that saw Oregon upset as 6½ point favorite. 'Over' bettors have returned to the pay window three straight meetings in Eugene.

 ...But More Concerned With 0-2 Start In Pac-12 Play

Washington rose to No. 5/6 in the two polls this week after dismantling then-No. 7/6 Stanford at home this past weekend. Favored by 3½, the Huskies capitalized on a couple of Cardinal turnovers and held Heisman candidate Christian McCaffrey to just 79 yards rushing and receiving on 17 touches.

The Ducks, meanwhile, were in Pullman dropping a 51-33 egg to Washington State as 2½ point road favorites. It was Oregon's 3rd-straight loss, a string that began with a setback at Nebraska, and the defense once again looked helpless. The Cougars rolled up over 650 yards of offense against Oregon after Colorado and Nebraska averaged over 500 per game in beating the Ducks the previous two weeks.

Forecasting weather so close to any coast is tricky this far out. Double check it before making your wager, but right now it looks okay Saturday (10% chance of rain, 74º at kickoff, very light southerly breeze). My first reaction when I saw the lines was the total was too high with expectations for around 60 at the end. Think I'm safer going with the 'under' for my free college football pick than backing a Huskies team I'm still not completely sold on.

Season: 11-14-1 (-3.70)

Free College Football Picks: Under 68½
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3027898, "sportsbooksIds":[93,19,1275,139], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/1vedbDxb1HU?list=PLLLmVlsjeBN1aPjGGj5ykxpXJR9b5l7mO", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]