NCAA Football Predictions Against The Spread - Mississippi St. vs. BYU

Mississippi St Bulldogs QB

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, October 12, 2016 8:46 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 12, 2016 8:46 PM UTC

The Mississippi St Bulldogs of the SEC travel to face the BYU Cougars in the altitude of Provo, Utah for this Friday night made for TV special. Our Expert Capper Joe Gavazzi provides his Free College Football Pick

 Mississippi St at BYU (-7) 10:15 EST ESPN

Due to divergent point spread results, both last week and for the season, we get great value with Mississippi St., whose Bulldogs are in the underdog role. 

In the inaugural season for first-year BYU HC Kalani Sitake, the BYU Cougars have outperformed expectations. Having QB Taysom Hill at the controls has provided great stability for the offense. Facing one of the most difficult early-season schedules on the CFB landscape, the Cougars have emerged with a first half record of 3-3 SU, but 5-1 ATS. Their first 5 games were decided by 3 or less points against quality foes Arizona, Utah, UCLA, WVU, and Toledo. Following the 55-53 barn burner of a home win vs Toledo, in which they allowed the Rockets 692 yards, it appeared the Cougars were in for a letdown when they traveled to face a Michigan St team who was in bounce-back mode after losing consecutive Big 10 games to Wisconsin and Indiana. But the Cougar defense bounced back big, holding the Spartans to 206 total yards while outgaining their Big 10 foe 260-85. As 5 point road dog, BYU prevailed 31-14. 

The fortunes for Mississippi St have not been as kind. Without QB Prescott (now running the Dallas Cowboys offense with aplomb), the Mississippi St fortunes figured to rely on the defense and running game. That has worked out for the Bulldogs against inferior foes such as South Carolina and UMass. But against quality SEC teams LSU and Auburn, they were decisively beaten at the point of attack and in the overall stats. This is a team who was a combined 19-7 SU the previous two years. At 2-3 SU, with four rugged SEC games to close the season vs A&M, Alabama, Arkansas, and Mississippi, THIS GAME IS A VIRTUAL MUST IF THE BULLDOGS ARE TO APPEAR IN A BOWL FOR THE 7TH CONSECUTIVE SEASON. 

Opening week this would have been a “PICK’EM” contest, but because the Cougars have covered by a net of 26 points, and Mississippi St has failed by a net of -52 points, the ensuing -78 net AFP has provided 7 full points of value for the Mississippi St Bulldogs in this contest. Eventually the BYU bubble will burst. Why not today against a hungry Mississippi St team who has much to prove?  I invite you to put the College Football ODDS in your favor and join me in my College Football PICK on Mississippi St. tonight. 

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Free College Football Pick: Mississippi St. +7Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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