NCAA Football Picks Week 6 - #1 Alabama Crimson Tide vs #16 Arkansas Razorbacks

Alabama and Arkansas Players

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, October 4, 2016 8:09 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2016 8:09 PM UTC

Our renowned college football handicapper previews Saturday’s SEC game between top-ranked Alabama and Arkansas. Don’t miss his point spread pick, which might surprise a lot of sharp bettors!

SBR Pro Crushes Sportsbooks in College Football Week 5 Action

Ross Benjamin of Sportsbook Review once again has shown why he’s among the best sports handicappers in the world. He went an off the charts 10-1 ATS with his college football week 5 predictions.


College Football Week 6 Predictions: Alabama vs. Arkansas

#16 Arkansas will host #1 Alabama on Saturday night. The opening kickoff at D.W.R. Stadium in Fayetteville is slated for 7:00 PM ET. The game will be televised nationally by ESPN.

At the time of this writing, college football odds at BetOnline has Alabama as a 14.0-point road favorite, and the total is 50.0. If you’re searching for one of the best sportsbooks to wager with, then look no further. BetOnline has a perfect A+ grade according to an extremely reputable online sports betting ratings guide. Additionally, BetOnline if offering 50% cash bonuses on deposits from all new customers.


Recent Series History

Alabama has defeated Arkansas in each of the past 9 seasons. Nevertheless, Arkansas has covered the past two meetings, and quite frankly gave Alabama all they can handle in those contests. Last season they were inside the number as a 15.5-point underdog despite sustaining a 27-14 loss in Tuscaloosa. Two years ago the Razorbacks nearly pulled off an upset during a 14-13 home loss, and easily cashed as an 8.5-point home underdog. Arkansas last defeated Alabama in 2006, and that was a year before Nick Saban took over as head coach of the Crimson Tide.


Pertinent Team Trends

Alabama is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a conference road favorite, and were upset on 2 of those occasions.

Arkansas is coming off a win last Saturday. Since 11/1/2014, Arkansas is 6-1 ATS as an underdog when coming off a win, and captured 4 of those 7 contests straight up.


College Football Betting Angle

Alabama enters this week with a perfect 5-0 record, and Arkansas comes in at 4-1 (.800). The Razorbacks are coming off a 52-10 win over Alcorn State in their previous game. That victory improved the Razorbacks record to 15-7 over its last 22 games. The collection of this aforementioned data in addition to the revenge factor, and current point spread falls into a highly successful betting angle illustrated below.

Any conference home underdog of 6.5 or more (Arkansas) that’s playing with revenge in game 6 or beyond, coming off a win, possessing a win percentage of .750 or better, and they’ve won 13 or more of their previous 22 games, versus an undefeated opponent (Alabama) playing in game 6 or beyond, resulted in those home underdogs going 14-1 ATS (93.3%) since 1998. The underdog also pulled an outright upset in 7 of those 15 games.


Final Take and Prediction

Alabama will be in for a much sterner SEC test than they faced during last Saturday’s 34-6 home win over Kentucky. Especially considering their true freshmen starting quarterback Jalen Hurts will be playing in just his second SEC road game. Alabama has allowed an impressive 10 points or less in 4 of 5 contests this year. However, Ole Miss did amass 43 points and 527 yards against the Crimson Tide stop unit. Arkansas is very capable of putting up comparable numbers on Saturday, and they’ll be one of my college football picks.


Free College Football Pick: Arkansas +14
Best Line Offered: at Intertops

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