NCAA Football Picks & Predictions For Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, September 27, 2016 11:38 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 27, 2016 11:38 PM UTC

Looking to prolong his great 62% ATS run, our capper takes a look into Thursday's clash between Kansas and Texas Tech, looking to get the most profitable betting angle and provide you with a free College Football Pick.


Big 12 Opener for Jayhawks and Red Raiders
Texas Tech will host Kansas on Thursday night in what will be each team’s conference-opening game. The opening kickoff from Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas is slated for 8:30 PM ET, and it will be televised by Fox Sports1. Texas Tech has won 9 straight games in this series, and the last Kansas win occurred in 2001. Each of the last two games these teams played against one another has gone under the total.

According to college football odds at the best sportsbooks, Texas Tech is a 28.0-point favorite across the board.


Kansas Futility
Kansas will enter Friday having lost 37 games in a row on the road. Furthermore, they’ve lost 32 consecutive conference away games and went an abysmal 9-23 ATS (28.1%) in those contests. The Jayhawks are also a dismal 0-8 SU&SATS during its previous 8 games as a conference away underdog of 27.5 to 45.0 and lost by a substantial average of 44.1 points per contest. As a matter of fact, the Jayhawks are 3-56 in their preceding 59 Big 12 games overall, and that includes a current 12-game losing streak.


Dynamic Texas Tech Offense and Terrible Defense
Texas Tech’s explosive offense is averaging 61.0 points and 678.7 yards per game through 3 contests. The Red Raiders aerial attack led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes has especially been off the charts good, evidenced by their average of 547.7 passing yards per game. Unfortunately, their defense hasn’t followed suit, allowing 43.0 points and 531.3 yards per contest.


College Football Betting Angle
During their 59-45 win over Louisiana Tech in their previous game, Texas Tech led 35-17 at the half. Kansas has allowed 28 points or more during the first half in each of its last 2 games. The combination of this data leads us to a very successful college football betting angle illustrated below.

Any college football home favorite of 21.5 to 31.0, and they led their previous game by 17 or more points at the half, versus an opponent which allowed 17 points or more in the first half of each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those home favorites going an extremely profitable 48-15 ATS (76.25) since 1992.


Final Take and Pick
I’ve already alluded to the road woes of Kansas. Contrarily, Texas Tech is 7-0 SU&ATS during their previous 7 games as a home favorite, and had an average victory margin of 27.4 points per contest. One of my college football week 5 predictions will be on the home favorite in this contest.


Free College Football Pick: Texas Tech -28.0
Best Line Offered: at JustBet, who is currently offering 50% signup bonuses on deposits of up to $300.

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