NCAA Football Picks: Back East Carolina -2.5 vs. Cincinnati

Tuesday, November 11, 2014 7:50 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 11, 2014 7:50 PM UTC

East Carolina has done a tremendous job bouncing back after a loss in recent years, which makes it a playable road favorite against Cincinnati Thursday night.

<p style="text-align:center"><iframe allowfullscreen frameborder="0" height="330" src="" width="560"></iframe></p> <p><strong>Returning to Action</strong><br /> <span style="font-size:13px">East Carolina is bowl eligible for the eighth time in nine years, which is important to consider when making your </span>Week 12 College Football Picks<span style="font-size:13px">, as it looks to bounce back from a disappointing 20-10 setback to Temple as 9.5-point road favorites on Nov. 1.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:13px">The Pirates have won 21 of their last 23 games when scoring 30 or more points—a number that is reachable in facing a stop unit that’s surrendering 29.8 points a contest in 2014. </span><span style="font-size:13px">Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 6-2 SU and 2-6 ATS as road favorites, with the UNDER going 5-3 in that situation.</span></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>New Surroundings</strong><br /> <span style="font-size:13px">Cincinnati is coming off a much needed bye wee after playing eight-straight games, which can’t be ignored when looking over the </span><a href="" target="_blank" title="Updated Live NCAAF Odds">NCAA Football Betting Odds</a><span style="font-size:13px">, but the squad is playing its home games at Paul Brown Stadium rather than Nippert Stadium this year.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:13px">The Bearcats have won 79 games over the last eight years—the most among current American Athletic Conference members over that span. </span><span style="font-size:13px">Since the start of the 2012 campaign, the team is 2-5 SU and 2-4-1 ATS as underdogs, with the OVER cashing in five of those seven opportunities.</span></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Keys to the Game</strong><br /> <span style="font-size:13px">The Pirates have won eight of their last 12 road contests dating back to 2012, but they’ll need to do a better job of holding onto the football in this </span><a href="" target="_blank" title="Check Jeff's AAC Power Rankings">AAC matchup</a><span style="font-size:13px">, as they rank 110th in the country in turnover margin.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:13px">East Carolina quarterback Shane Carden is a dynamic player offensively, which is one of the main reasons why the squad has outscored opponents by a 83-31 margin in the final quarter, including a 41-0 advantage versus conference foes.</span></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Cashing In</strong><br /> <span style="font-size:13px">The Bearcats are 28-of-31 in the red zone this season, with the three non scores coming on two kneel downs and a missed field goal.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:13px">Cincinnati has the ability to utilize two different signal-callers, with Gunner Kiel throwing a league-leading 20 touchdowns in seven games, while Munchie Legaux has proven capable off the bench in a pair of wins.</span></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Prediction</strong><br /> <span style="font-size:13px">I’m going to recommend that readers back the Pirates as one of their </span>top <a href="" target="_blank" title="Want more? Check Our NCAAF Picks">College Football picks</a><span style="font-size:13px">, as the Pirates are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss, while the Bearcats are 2-5 ATS following a bye week.</span></p> <p><strong style="font-size:13px">College Football Pick:</strong><span style="font-size:13px">  East Carolina Pirates -2.5 at <a href=";book=in-article-thegreek" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Place Your Bet at The Greek">The Greek</a></span></p> <p><iframe allowtransparency="true" border="0" frameborder="no" height="140px" id="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" name="iframe-odds-widget-2036869707517426" scrolling="no" src=";timezone=16&amp;theme=article&amp;line-type=spreadntotals.type=whole-game&amp;odds-type=US&amp;books=19,43,227,1096,999996,93,238,123,139&amp;trackers=1409845611531.xml&amp;event-id= 294413" style="width:642px;border:medium none;overflow:hidden"></iframe></p>
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