NCAA Football Picks ATS for Northern Illinois vs. Ball State

Jeff Grant

Monday, November 3, 2014 4:15 PM GMT

College Football bettors will be pleased to know that Ball State has created turnovers at a high rate recently, making them a dangerous home underdog against Northern Illinois on Wednesday.

Lookahead Spot?
Northern Illinois could get caught looking ahead to its Week 12 matchup against Toledo next week, which is important to consider when making your College Football picks, as it has put together a 6-2 SU and 3-5 ATS mark through eight games.

The Huskies have also managed to win the last five overall meetings in this series, while coming away with six straight victories at Scheumann Stadium by an average of 18.3 points.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 11-1 SU and 7-5 ATS as road favorites in College Football odds, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (6-6 Over/Under).

 

Forcing the Issue
Ball State has been in every game this season, as all five of its losses have come by 11 or fewer points, with three being decided by a touchdown or less.

The Cardinals are fifth in the country in turnover margin after forcing their opponents to commit five miscues in each of their last two games, while they’ve done a great job of giving the ball away just six times.

Since 2012, the program is 12-3 SU and 9-6 ATS at home, with the OVER cashing in eight of those 15 opportunities.

Make intelligent College Football picks by reading this week's inflated odds report.

Key Number
There’s no doubt that the Huskies will aim to limit the Cardinals offense, as they’ve won 39 of their last 40 games when allowing 24 or fewer points, but Ball State is averaging 26.9 points overall and 30.8 at home.

Northern Illinois may simply just outscore its MAC rival, as it has gained 500 or more yards of total offense 56 times in program history, with five of those occurring in this series.

 

Edwards Can Make It Happen
Cardinals senior running back Jahwan Edwards occupies the top spot in school history with 4,134 career rushing yards, as he enters this affair with 828 yards on the ground in 2014.

Ball State has benefited in having all five of its offensive line members start in each of the last four games, while signal-caller Jack Milas has provided balance since taking over the role Oct. 11—throwing for 749 yards and five touchdowns with zero interceptions.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Cardinals as one of their top midweek College Football picks, as they’ve covered the number in nine of their last 13 games when receiving points.

Free College Football Pick:  Ball State Cardinals +3 at BookMaker