NCAA Football Picks Against The Spread - Stanford Cardinal vs Oregon Ducks - Week 11

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, November 9, 2016 8:07 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 9, 2016 8:07 PM UTC

SBR Contributor Ross looks to continue his great 33-17 record over the past 6 weeks on his college football picks with a selection on the Stanford-Oregon game. Read on to get the scoop.


Stanford vs. Oregon Odds

Stanford and Oregon will square off on Saturday at Autzen Stadium in Eugene. There’s a scheduled 4:00 PM ET kickoff, and it will be televised on the PAC-12 Network. Oregon has defeated Stanford in each of the past 2 years, and that includes a 38-36 win last season in Palo Alto. As a matter of fact, last season’s loss to Oregon most likely cost Stanford a berth in the 4-team college football playoff.

At the time of this writing (11/9), college football betting odds at Bookmaker has Stanford as a 3.0-point road favorite, and there’s a posted total of 57.0. Bookmaker is widely regarded to be one of the top online betting sites.


Struggling Offense and Stout Defense

One of the biggest frustrations for Stanford this season has been their offensive performance. Despite their solid 6-3 record thus far, Stanford’s offense is averaging an uninspiring 19.9 points and 317.8 yards per game. Granted they had to replace 3-year starting quarterback Kevin Hogan. Nonetheless, they did return preseason Heisman Trophy favorite Christian McCaffery at running back. McCaffery has been banged up a bit this season, and although he still has very good offensive numbers, it’s been a tad behind last year’s pace. Although, McCaffery is coming off strong rushing performances in Stanford’s last 2 games, running for a combined 368 yards, and averaging a robust 6.7 yards per carry.

The Cardinal defense has been a savior thus far, and especially so over their previous 4 games. During that stretch, Stanford has allowed 15 points or fewer in each of those contests, and held opponents to 274 yards or less during 3 of the 4 games.


Disappointing Ducks

Oregon began the season by winning its first 2 games, and since that time has lost 6 of its last 7 contests. The Ducks are still a dynamic quick strike offensive team. However, their defensive unit has been brutal this season. As a matter of fact, Oregon is allowing 42.6 points and 535.4 yards per game on the year. That defensive ineptness has been a major reason why the Ducks are staring down its first losing season since 1991. Oregon is coming off a 45-20 loss at USC last Saturday.

 Highly Profitable College Football Betting Angle

Any road favorite (Stanford) which has allowed 17 points or less in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent that gave up 37 points or more during its last game, resulted in those road favorites going 74-30 (71.2%) since 2007. Those road favorites also went 97-10 (.901) straight up over the course of those 104 games. Considering the small number that Stanford is being asked to cover, the straight up results in this specific betting angle takes on added significance when making my college football week 11 picks.

 Free College Football Pick: Stanford -3.0Best Line Offeredat Bookmaker

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