NCAA Football Betting Pick - Ole Miss vs Texas A&M - Week 11

Ole Miss Rebels HC

Willie Bee

Tuesday, November 8, 2016 3:34 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2016 3:34 PM UTC

With both quarterbacks down with injuries, the NCAA football odds for Saturday's SEC battle between Ole Miss and Texas A&M have been held back by the sports books.

Season: 20-18-3 (+0.90)

There was a time back before the season began when some circled this week's matchup between the Ole Miss Rebels and Texas A&M Aggies as having the potential to be crucial to the Southeastern Conference standings.

That was then, and this is now, and now it really means nothing more than seeding for lesser-tier bowl invites the conference will soon be receiving. In the Rebels' case, a postseason trip isn't even guaranteed as they arrive in College Station for Saturday's 7:30 PM (ET) kickoff that will be carried by the SEC Network.

Injuries to both signal callers have delayed the wagering numbers for this one, so bettors will need to keep an eye on SBR's live NCAA football odds to catch the official spread and total when they are released.


Second String QBs Could Be Story In This One

Back when this contest was expected to have consequence to the conference race, both teams had healthy 1st-string quarterbacks who were to guide their sides to bigger and better things in 2016. That is no longer the case after Ole Miss lost Chad Kelly to a season-ending knee injury in last week's win over Georgia Southern while Texas A&M's Trevor Knight is questionable with a bum shoulder following the Aggies' loss at Mississippi State last Saturday.

Those are just two of several injuries that will test the depth of both teams. Texas A&M also lists right guard Connor Lanfear (knee) as doubtful and free safety Armani Watts (ankle) as questionable. Mississippi (4-5 straight up, 3-6 against the spread) could be without the right side of its offensive line with tackle Sean Rawlings (leg) and guard Robert Conyers (knee) both questionable, as well as defensive end John Youngblood (ankle).

Hugh Freeze's Rebs looked as if they might suffer a 4th-straight loss last Saturday when Georgia Southern jumped out to a 14-3 lead in Oxford, the Eagles up 21-10 early in the second. Favored by four touchdowns at top-rated sports books like Bookmaker, Ole Miss rallied to grab a 37-27 victory, freshman Jake Hubenak finishing up for Kelly under center.

Texas A&M (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) perhaps suffered from a case of the big head after the initial CFP ranking had Kevin Sumlin's squad No. 4 last week. The Aggies can say goodbye to any playoff hopes they might have envisioned after heading to Starkville as 10 point chalk and laying a 35-28 egg on Mississippi State's field. Knight was injured early in the second quarter, and Sumlin acted surprised his defense couldn't stop the Bulldogs' ground game even though that has been a problem for A&M all season.


Rebels Looking For 3rd-Straight Win Over Aggies

After only meeting four times from 1911-80, Ole Miss and A&M are getting together for a fifth straight season. The Aggies took those early four matchups, then the first two as SEC rivals before the Rebels won the last two. Last year's get-together in Oxford ended with Mississippi dominating in a 23-3 decision as a 6 point home favorite. The final stayed well below a 65½ point total, the third 'under' winner since the Ags joined the SEC.

The weatherman is giving us a forecast that calls for cloudy skies and muggy temps in the upper-60s for the kickoff,  and we're left to forecast our own odds for this one. Right now, I'm planning on Knight not playing for Texas A&M, which will cut into the spread favoring the Aggies. The total should be right around 59-60, and assuming my number is close, I'll be going 'under' for my free college football pick.


Free College Football Pick: Ole Miss-Texas A&M Under 60Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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