Navy vs. (15) Notre Dame College Football Picks: Bet the Bigger & Stronger Fighting Irish

David Lawrence

Wednesday, October 7, 2015 3:27 PM GMT

The Navy Midshipmen are unbeaten, while Notre Dame Fighting Irish is coming off a loss this past weekend. Does this mean Navy has a good chance to win?

Momentum
The Midshipmen are playing really well this season. They are one of six teams to have a lead of at least 13 points in all of their games this season. This means they’re playing well in the first halves of games and are setting the right tone. The same was the case this past weekend against Air Force, as the Midshipmen won very comfortably against their service academy rivals. Navy is getting great play from quarterback Keenan Reynolds, who continues to break and set all sorts of all-time college football records for the most touchdowns in various statistical categories. Navy’s defense has also been very good, though the quality of the Midshipmen’s opponents is what’s under question. That’s a big point of discussion for bettors heading into this game.

Notre Dame is coming off a rough loss to Clemson, a close decision with a final score of 24-22. The Irish outgained the Tigers, and they moved the ball more consistently, but they couldn’t finish drives or plays. They fumbled inside the Clemson 3 at one point, and they missed a pair of two-point conversions, the second one in the final 10 seconds to seal the loss. DeShone Kizer was decent at quarterback, but he is still a backup, and he looked like it for much of Saturday night’s game. Notre Dame has to expect some ups and downs from Kizer, but the larger point is that those ups and downs need to come without turnovers, at least not too many of them. If the Irish can reduce really bad mistakes make only minor mistakes, they should feel they’re in good shape here.

 

Line Moves
Notre Dame started as a 14-point favorite, but the College Football Odds have moved to 14.5 points. The betting public sees how much bigger and stronger Notre Dame is on the offensive and defensive lines. The public also knows Notre Dame very nearly sent Clemson into overtime on the road. Navy has not played anyone as good as Notre Dame this year – not even close.

 

Notable Injuries
Navy offensive guard E.K. Binns has been listed as questionable for this game with an elbow injury. Cornerback Shelley White is out for the season with an Achilles injury. Linebacker Myer Krah is questionable with a leg injury.

Notre Dame has defensive back Drue Tranquill listed as being out for the season with an ACL injury. Defensive back Shaun Crawford is out for the season with a knee injury. Other players out for the season include original number one quarterback Malik Zaire, replaced by DeShone Kizer, and running back Tarean Folston, replaced by C.J. Prosise. Tight end Durham Smythe is also out for the season, as is defensive lineman Ishaq Williams. Fellow defensive lineman Jarrod Jones is out as well. Running back Greg Bryant is out due to eligibility issues. Offensive lineman Quenton Nelson is questionable for this game with an ankle injury. Tight end Tyler Luatua is questionable with a concussion.

 

Handicapping The Game
The Fighting Irish are just a lot bigger and stronger than Navy. It’s going to be men against boys at the line of scrimmage in this game. Take the Irish with your College Football Picks.

College Football Pick: Notre Dame -14.5 at Bovada.

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Not convinced? Check another capper's take on this game.