N. Carolina Dog of the Week vs. Miami College Football Picks

Joe Gavazzi

Friday, October 31, 2014 6:48 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 31, 2014 6:48 PM UTC

Is the North Carolina Tarheels' late season resurgence enough to offset the offensive tandem of Miami QB Kaaya and RB Johnson? We bring you our free college footbal picks for this contest. 

North Carolina vs. Miami, FL (-17) 12:30 ET
The UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK suffered its first loss of the year, after beginning the season with 8 consecutive victories.  To be honest, the loss was well deserved. The Texas Longhorns were never in the game in their 23-0 loss to Kansas St.  I can assure you, however, that this week’s underdog, N. Carolina, will not go scoreless. 

Last week, Miami, FL added insult to injury on the fading Frank Beamer resume. Led by 249 yards rushing from RB Duke Johnson, Miami outrushed the Hokies 364-120, outgained them 456-262, and profited from a +3 net TO margin in a 30-6 Blacksburg bashing.  Just to the East, N. Carolina was profiting from the questionable but successful onside kick, called by HC Fedora, that preserved the Heels’ 28-27 upset of Virginia. 

Miami certainly does appear to be an improved football team.  Yes, there are road losses at Louisville, Nebraska and GA Tech, but playing on this field, Miami has won by 34 against Florida A&M, then gone 3-0 ATS in a 21 point victory vs. Arkansas St., 12 point win vs. Duke, and 21 point win vs. Cincinnati. Young QB Kaaya continues to benefit from the thrusts of RB Johnson, aiding in a balanced offense. 

But the real story in this game is N. Carolina. In 2013, the Tarheels began the season at 1-5 SU ATS, following their 27-23 loss to this Miami team.  When the smoke cleared, however, the Tarheels responded with a 6-1 SU ATS finish, culminating with a 39-17 Bowl win vs. Cincinnati. Again this season, N. Carolina started slowly. At 2-3 SU, 0-5 ATS, they entered the Notre Dame game in desperation mode.  The Heels covered easily in that one (50-43) as 16 point pup on college football odds. Yet, they still could have tossed the towel with 4 consecutive losses.  Rather, they have responded with wins against GA Tech and Virginia, to make themselves once again relevant. Tarheel QB Williams is a dual threat, who leads an attack that is averaging 37 PPG and 443 YPG. It is that unit that we can count on, along with the innovative offensive philosophies of HC Fedora, to keep the Tarheels competitive in this contest the whole way. An outright victory? Probably not, but N. Carolina has once again proven their late season mettle, making this bloated line, which is nearly 2 TDs more than opening week, a must take college football pick as our UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK in a series that has seen the short cover 8/10 recent games.

College football picks: North Carolina +15 at 5Dimes

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