Mustangs to Roll Past Bulldogs in Inaugural Frisco Bowl

frisco bowl

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, December 7, 2017 3:10 PM GMT

Thursday, Dec. 7, 2017 3:10 PM GMT

Louisiana Tech and Southern Methodist will lock horns on Dec. 20 in Frisco, Texas, in the Frisco Bowl. Let's take a look at the matchups, trends, and of course the college football odds and get on the sharp side of this game.

Free NCAAF Pick: SMU -5Best Line Offered: Bovada

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Louisiana Tech (6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS) vs. SMU (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS)
  • SMU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.
  • SMU is 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
  • SMU is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win.
  • Louisiana Tech is 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Louisiana Tech is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Louisiana Tech is 1-4 ATS after a bye week.

The schedule-makers were not kind to SMU as the season wound down. The Mustangs ran into a buzz-saw on Nov. 4 when they hosted the University of Central Florida, a team that ended the regular season undefeated, yet fared better than the college football odds makers anticipated when they fell 31-24 as 14½-point home chalk. SMU then hit the highway and dropped a 43-40 shootout to Navy, and then traveled to Top 20 Memphis, where they were again outgunned in a 66-45 defeat. In their last game of the season, SMU notched a win in yet another high-scoring affair courtesy of a 41-38 victory over Tulane as 8-point home favorites.

Louisiana Tech turned their season around at just the right time, otherwise they would have not been going bowling this season. Standing at 4-6 with two games remaining, the Bulldogs trounced lightly-regarded UTEP on the road and then ended the regular season with a convincing 20-6 win over UTSA as 1-point home faves. Those victories won Tech an invitation into the Frisco Bowl and a date with SMU.

The question you must ask yourself when considering this matchup is: Does SMU's prolific offense, ranked 9th in the nation in points scored and 16th in passing yards, against a middling Bulldogs defense (ranked 66th in points allowed) outweigh their porous defense (ranked 113th) vs. a mediocre Tech offense (ranked 67th)? The answer is -- yes! Look, if the Bulldogs didn't have a pair of tomato cans as their last two opponents then we wouldn't be talking about them. SMU would be facing another squad, and this entire discussion would be moot. But the Bulldogs got lucky and did what they had to do in defeating both those lesser lights and got a bowl bid.

However, SMU is on another level. Their offense is dynamic under the command of Ben Hicks, who has thrown for over 3,400 yards and has 32 TDs on the season. His top three receivers have a combined 108 catches and 30 touchdowns. Louisiana Tech is simply not equipped to handle this kind of withering aerial assault. Granted, they will score points against SMU's lackluster defensive unit, but the Bulldogs don't have the horses to keep pace with Hicks and his talented offensive arsenal. I feel this number is a good value as we are laying under a touchdown, which is just another reason to include SMU in your college football picks.

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