Mizzou-Vandy Clash Lacks Offensive Power, Grab 'Under' with your College Football Pick

Steven Suarez

Friday, October 23, 2015 4:51 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 23, 2015 4:51 PM UTC

The Tigers are trending down, but it hasn't been much better of a season for Vanderbilt. We're here to look over the college football odds and see where the edge is.

Odds Overview
As of now, the Tigers are small 2.5-point favorites on the road, with the college football odds board showing the total at a very low 34 points. These two defensive units have been stellar this season, and both teams have struggled offensively, so we can see why the number is where it is.


Vanderbilt Commodores
All in all it's been another pretty disappointing season for the Commodores, who are 2-4 through six games. Their two wins came over Austin Peay and MTSU, but when the competition level has increased, they haven't been able to stay competitive enough to end up on the winning side.

Now Vanderbilt enters a daunting stretch in which they'll play Missouri, Houston and then Florida, with those two upcoming games against ranked opponents both coming on the road. It's tough to picture the Commodores turning things around drastically over the next few weeks and beyond, although they certainly have a much better chance against the Tigers this weekend at home than they do in those two tough road trips.

Gross inefficiency offensively has been the thorn in the back of Vanderbilt. The Commodores have averaged a miserable 19.0 points per game this season, which puts them 117th in the country. It's a good thing their defense (18.5 PPG allowed) has stepped it up, or they could have an even worse record heading into this Saturday.


Missouri Tigers
The Tigers have really regressed over the last month or so, as they've lost three of their last four games to fall to 4-3 on the season. Their wins have come over SE Missouri State, Arkansas State, UConn and South Carolina, with their losses coming to Kentucky, Florida and Georgia. Like the Commodores, Missouri has found it tougher since the schedule kicked up.

Quarterback problems have plagued this team throughout the season. Maty Mauk was entrenched as the starter, but then had disciplinary problems and has since been suspended indefinitely. That's left Drew Lock as the new starter, and he's only a freshman and has a lot of learning to do.

Just like Vanderbilt, the Tigers have been a mess offensively and have been dragged up by their defense. Missouri's defense, though, has been stellar, surrendering only 12.9 points per game, the sixth-best mark in all of college football. They just stood their ground at Georgia, allowing just nine points to the Bulldogs on the road, yet still ended up on the losing side thanks (or no thanks) to the putrid offense.


NCAA Football Picks
Folks, this isn't going to be the prettiest football game you'll ever watch. It's more than likely going to be an incredibly low-scoring game.

The Tigers have been really bad offensively this season, but that doesn't take away from what the defense has been able to do. This is a borederline elite unit and is going to keep Missouri a lot more competitive than they would be without those efforts. Allowing just under a shade of 13 points per game, we don't think the Tigers will have a lot of trouble with Vanderbilt. They've already had to deal with some talented offenses this season, so they should be well prepared.

We also can't lose sight of what Vanderbilt has done defensively. The Commodores have been strong, allowing 18.5 points per game, and now they get to face a punchless Missouri offense that has looked shaky all season long.

Needless to say, we're not expecting a lot of points whatsoever, and there's a good reason this total is so low. We're still taking the UNDER as our college football pick regardless, as we anticipate the defenses to rule the day.

College Football Pick: Under 34.5 at 5Dimes

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