The undefeated Bulldogs are enormous favorites for their Week 10 matchup against the Tigers. Find out if we think they can cover the 38-point spread with our Missouri and Georgia picks.
Georgia is on a mission to finish the season as the number one team in the country and secure its spot in the college football playoffs. The Bulldogs not only average 37 points per game on offense, they only allow six points per game on defense.
The Tigers still need a few more wins on the season if they want any chance of making a bowl game. Missouri hasn't beaten Georgia since 2013 so history is not on their side. All signs point to a lopsided victory here so the question remains — can Missouri cover? They will need to figure out a way to break down this Georgia defense that is on a historic pace.
Here are my picks and predictions for the college football Week 10 matchup between Missouri and Georgia (odds via Caesars; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5 star scale).
Missouri vs. Georgia Game Info
Date/Time: Saturday, November 6, 12 p.m. ETTV: ESPNLocation: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GAWeather: 55 degrees, no chance of precipitation
Missouri vs. Georgia Odds Analysis
The spread for this game opened at -38.5 before finally settling at -38 depending on where you line shop. The total opened at 59.5 and moved down a full point to 58.5. If you like the Over here, you are relying on Georgia for most of the points.
Missouri vs. Georgia Betting Picks
Georgia -38 (-110) ???Under 59.5 (-110) ????
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Missouri vs. Georgia Betting Predictions
Georgia -38 (-110)
I'm one of the first people to call a spread like this silly. But Georgia is ridiculously good on both ends of the ball so this spread actually makes sense to me. The only way Missouri somehow covers this spread is to get an early lead and force Georgia to play from behind.
That is easier said than done against the best defense in the country, one that has allowed just 53 points all season. Missouri has the worst run defense in the country, giving up 283.9 yards per game. Georgia averages close to 200 rushing yards a game so I expect them to dominate in the trenches.
Under 59.5 (-110)
Georgia doesn't need to score more than 24 points to win this game. Considering they haven't allowed an opponent to put up more than 13, two touchdowns is probably all they need to win this game outright. On average, Georgia is averaging 33.7 points per game in their last four and the total has not gone Over 44 in any of those games.
There's no reason to think that formula will change against Missouri. The Tigers will not be able to contain the Bulldogs rushing attack which means Georgia controls the game clock. All signs point to the Under in this game.
SEE ALSO: LSU vs. Alabama Week 10 Picks