Missouri Ready to Rip Former Big 12 Foe Horns in Texas Bowl

texas bowl

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, December 14, 2017 1:57 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 14, 2017 1:57 PM UTC

Texas will play in its eponymous postseason bowl against a former Big 12 opponent in Missouri. Let's review the college football odds and size up this Dec. 27 Texas Bowl matchup in Houston.

Free NCAAF Pick: Missouri -3Best Line Offered: YouWager

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Missouri (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) vs. Texas (6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS)
  • Texas is 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. SEC opponents.
  • Texas is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
  • Missouri is 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Missouri is 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite.
  • Missouri is 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win.
  • Missouri is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.

The SEC's Tigers began the season 1-5 straight up and 2-4 against the spread but things turned around in dramatic fashion after their 68-21 destruction of Idaho way back on Oct 21. Missouri has not looked back, winning the remainder of its regular season games and covering seven of its last eight contests.

Junior quarterback Drew Lock has been a man on a mission this season with a staggering 43 passing touchdowns, which leads the nation, and 3,695 passing yards. His Missouri offense checks in at 10th in the nation in scoring, averaging over 39 points per game, and is ranked 35th in rushing yardage, chewing up nearly 200 yards per game.

The Big 12's Longhorns ended their season on a sour note, dropping a 27-23 decision at home to Texas Tech as 7½-point home favorites. Freshman QB Sam Ehlinger has been more of a game manager this season than a game-breaker with just 10 passing touchdowns for a total of 1,803 yards through the air. But in fairness, Ehlinger has split time with sophomore Shane Buechele, and who will be under center for this battle with the Tigers is undecided as of this writing.

Regardless of which quarterback gets the nod, neither has the chops or the weapons at his disposal to keep pace with the frenetic offense of Missouri. There are just two things in the Longhorns' favor in the Texas Bowl, which is the venue (Houston) and their defense. Texas owns the 31st ranked defensive unit in the country, surrendering 21.7 points per game.

Those who are leaning towards including Texas in their college football picks will cite the Longhorns' defense in games against the high-flying Oklahoma Sooners and Oklahoma State Cowboys in which they lost both games but held those offenses in check to the tune of 29 and 13 points, respectively. However, this is not the same team now that it was then and a spate of injuries has ravaged this Texas team heading into its postseason clash with the upwardly spiraling Tigers.

The college football odds opened with Missouri as a 1-point favorite, but that number has climbed to 3 two weeks before kickoff. The sharps appear to be backing the Tigers with an offense that will be too much for the Horns to handle and a quarterback controversy that will suggest that neither Ehlinger or Buechele has the support of their offense or their coach. Lay the short number and cash a ticket with the Tigers.

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