Mississippi State to Top Texas A&M & Earn First Kyle Field Win

free ncaaf picks

Willie Bee

Thursday, October 26, 2017 12:33 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 26, 2017 12:33 PM GMT

Looking for revenge after an upset road loss last year, Texas A&M is a slight underdog on the NCAA football odds at home against the defensive-minded Mississippi State Bulldogs.

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Free NCAAF Pick: Mississippi State -1.5Best Line Offered: Heritage
 

Sitting at the bottom or just outside of the top 25 polls, the Mississippi State Bulldogs and Texas A&M Aggies hope to impress voters this weekend at Kyle Field. ESPN carries the kickoff at 7:15 PM (ET), and the tightest line of the week finds BetOnline calling it a pick ‘em, other shops favoring the Bulldogs by 1½, and 56 for the total in what is expected to be a defensive battle.

Texas A&M is No. 24 according to the coaches and No. 26 in the AP poll, and the Aggies begin a stretch of three successive home games this week following their bye. Mississippi State comes in No. 28 in the latest balloting by both groups and heads home after this game to host UMass before Alabama comes to Starkville. Both sides are 5-2 overall, A&M 3-1 in the SEC standings where the Bulldogs are 2-2.

 

Bulldogs 8th In Country In Total Defense

Dan Mullen brings the Bulldogs to College Station after a couple of impressive wins over BYU and Kentucky. Nick Fitzgerald guided the offense to impressive performances in both triumphs, which covered the NCAA football odds to leave Mississippi State 5-2 against the spread. The defense remains the strength of the club, however, after being a laughingstock last season. Both losses came on the road, and to pretty strong Auburn and Georgia teams, it should be added, so quieting the huge Kyle Field crowd early could go a long way.

Could that crowd be stirred up by the return of Nick Starkel? Probably not, but the freshman QB is progressing rapidly from the ankle injury he suffered in the opener at UCLA, and there is a chance he could be suited up next week, if not this Saturday. The Aggies lost their running game a few weeks ago, and it ain’t gonna’ be easy to find it against a Bulldogs defense, nor will it be easy for Kellen Mond or whoever’s under center to throw on this secondary.

Rivalry Trends, Mother Nature & A Free Pick

Half of the 10 meetings in this series have come since A&M joined the SEC, the Aggies winning three of those five meetings including both matchups in College Station. Mississippi State’s two wins came in Starkville, last year’s 35-28 decision coming as a 10 point underdog against a Texas A&M side that had just emerged as the No. 4 team in the initial 2016 CFP rankings. Three of the last four clashes went ‘over,’ this year’s 56 the lowest in their SEC matchups.

It should be a nice crisp evening in Aggieland, clear skies and temps in the 50s at the boot before dipping into the 40s by the end of the game. The Aggies are 6-13-1 ATS at home in SEC action, and they’re not getting enough in this game to cover. Give me the Bulldogs for my free college football pick.

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