Middies Holding Key Advantage Makes Navy the College Football Pick Over East Carolina

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, September 17, 2015 12:18 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 17, 2015 12:18 PM UTC

I isolated the College Football Crusher Pick of the Week for week 3 betting. Look for this dominating favorite to either double rush DOUBLE RUSH their opponent or run and pass for 200+ yards.

College Football Crusher of the Week
Each week in this space, I will isolate the College Football Crusher of the Week. It will be a blend of statistical, situational and technical analysis that will result in an outstanding opportunity for you to cash a winning ticket. Look for this dominating favorite to either double rush their opponent (a 75% chance of pointspread success) or run and pass for 200+ yards (200 CLUB, A 74% pointspread winner).  Here is this week’s College Football Pick that will put the odds greatly in your favor of cashing a winning ticket.


E. Carolina vs. Navy (-3-) 3:30 ET CBSC TV 
Last week in this space, we used GA Tech (-30) as our crusher of the week. The Jackets crushed Tulane with a 439-71 yardage edge overland en route to a dominating 65-10 victory and 25 point cover. This week, I expect another solid overland differential, as Navy hosts E. Carolina in an AAC contest.  

This is a bad scheduling spot for E. Carolina, who left it all on the field last week in their 31-24 loss to Florida. In that contest, the Pirates were looking to avenge a 28-20 Bowl loss. Their efforts fell just short, when 1st year QB Kemp passed for 333 yards and 3 TDs against the Gators. But, Kemp also had a critical fumble inside the Florida 20 with less than a minute to play as the Pirates walked the plank. Key stat from that loss was the fact that Florida outrushed E. Carolina 168 to (-13).  E. Carolina figures to suffer much the same fate in this clash with Navy.  And without the veteran presence of last year’s starting QB Carden, look for E. Carolina to come up on the short end of the scoreboard again today. Though this is a conference game, the Pirates may treat it with less importance than their higher profile matchup at home with VA Tech next week. This creates an ideal play against sandwich spot for E. Carolina.

No such problem with excitement or motivation for this Navy team, who always comes to play under 8th year HC Niumatalolo.  Excitement is in the air at Annapolis, as the Midshipmen play their first ever conference game.  They do so with a week of rest following their Week 1 victory against Colgate (48-10).  As always, the Middies ground game led the way, as they ran for 371 overland yards on just 47 attempts.  That’s traditional for this military school, whose discipline is ideal for running the triple option.  Last year, Navy was among the nations’ leaders once again with an average of 338/6.0 on the ground.  Today, 4 year starter QB Keenan Reynolds will again lead Navy into battle.  He will ably abetted by FB Swain, the first of his 3 triple options. E. Carolina rarely sees the triple option.  In fact, the last time they saw it was against this Navy team in 2012, when the Middies came away from an E. Carolina home field with a 56-28 blowout victory.

This has all the elements of the crusher of the week with the Middies holding key advantages with the fundamentals of their overland game, as well as the situational edge as described above.

College Football Pick: Take Navy at Pinnacle

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