Miami to Rock Emotional Syracuse Like a Hurricane

miami football

Rainman M.

Thursday, October 19, 2017 3:20 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 19, 2017 3:20 PM GMT

Coming off an upset win vs No. 2 Clemson, Syracuse (4-3) travels to No. 8 Miami (5-0) in ACC action Saturday at 3:30 PM ET. The Hurricanes opened as 14-point favorites, but that number has been bet up.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/F8EsIdHfWF8", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]Syracuse Orange at No. 8 Miami Hurricanes

Syracuse's offense revolves around dual-threat quarterback Eric Dungey, who is responsible for about 65% of Syracuse's plays. He leads the Orange in passing and rushing yards. Miami's defense is well-equipped to deal with a Syracuse offense that is constructed to give its quarterback pretty numbers by favoring tempo and quick passes out of the shotgun to a spread-out group of wide receivers.  Miami's rush defense will allow the Canes to focus on playing extensive pass coverage.

In their last 10 games, Miami is 4-0 ATS when allowing less than 100 rushing yards.  Miami's defense ranks 50th in allowing 4.1 yards per carry, a number that is inflated by just having faced Georgia Tech. Last year, the Hurricanes ranked 22nd in the same category and allowed 3.2 yards per carry at home. This year, they return almost their entire front 7 and thus continue to create havoc in opposing backfields.

Their speed on defense allows them to halt up-tempo offenses such as that of Duke a few weeks ago. Miami's defensive ends can remain well-rested because there are four of them who are capable of starting, but also because Miami has played two fewer games than Syracuse. They are big and physical and work inside.  But, with their quick reaction off the snap, they also ably help their linebackers in sideline-to-sideline pursuit.

Going on the road against a highly-ranked pass defense is a tall order for Dungey. Dating back to last season, he has thrown 3 interceptions to 2 touchdowns against teams ranked in the Top 50 of average opposing quarterback passer rating. Miami ranks 32nd. UM's front 7 should play a decisive role as Miami is 4th in sacks per game and Syracuse is 124th in sacks allowed. The Orange, when they enter into longer passing downs, will need big plays against a Miami secondary that is 17th in pass yards allowed per attempt.

Offensively, Miami has the advantage of having a balanced attack, whereas Syracuse fails to develop one. Travis Homer impressed in his debut as Miami's starting running back with 170 yards against Georgia Tech's strongly-ranked rush defense. Quarterback Malik Rosier also proved that he can have an efficient game against a high-quality, experienced secondary by completing 62% of his passes vs. the Yellow Jackets.

The Power 5 opponents that Syracuse has faced, LSU and NC State, but also Middle Tennessee, achieved the TT 'over' against Syracuse by rushing more than 30 times. These teams did not fall behind, but instead kept pace with Syracuse such that they were able to do what they want offensively. Rosier provides a dual-threat element that Syracuse, which struggled against Middle Tennessee's Brent Stockstill, hasn't shown to be able to stop.

 

The Verdict

This season on college football picks, teams that face Clemson are 1-4 ATS in the following week. Expect a well-balanced Miami offense to control the game, while Dungey will struggle against the physicality, speed and depth of Miami's defense. Syracuse, coming off a huge upset win, will run out of gas.

Free NCAAF Pick: Miami -16Best Line Offered: Bovada

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