Make Utah State the College Football Pick at San Diego State

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, October 21, 2015 10:05 PM GMT

After a very impressive win over Boise State last week, the Aggies will head out on the road, where they're the college football odds-on favorites against San Diego State.

Odds Overview
Fresh off their great home performance against Boise State, the Aztecs will be high on confidence on the road this Friday. They're currently favored by five points on the college football odds board; make sure to keep checking back with SBRodds.com in order to get the best possible number you can.

What's the total looking like for this week's showdown in San Diego? Oddsmakers expect defense to rule out here, with the O/U settling in at around 44 points. 

 

San Diego State Aztecs
Things weren't look great for the Aztecs following a forgettable 1-3 start in their first four games, but they've sure responded to a little early-season adversity in the correct manner. San Diego State has won three games in a row, topping Fresno, Hawaii and San Jose State, with each win coming by at least 14 points.

As usual, the Aztecs have relied on Donnel Pomphrey and the running game to carry the load offensively. One of the most talented backs in the nation, Pomphrey has accumulated 729 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns, and he also leads the team in receiving with 249 yards (and a touchdown grab to boot).

We'll likely see the Aztecs lean on Pomphrey early in order to establish the ground game, and then hoping a defense that's only allowed 19.6 points per game this season can do its thing again against Utah State.

 

Utah State Aggies
The Aggies opened the season losing two of their first three, falling short to Utah and Washington on the road. Since those losses, Utah State has shifted momentum, piling up three consecutive victories, all of which came fairly comfortably. The Aggies overcame Colorado State, Fresno State and Boise State, with the big win over the Broncos (52-26) coming last week.

Even though Utah State was a pretty big dog, they came to play and had little trouble outlasting Boise State. An opportunistic defense was the key to the victory, as the Aggies pounced on, and then made the most of eight turnovers committed by the Broncos. Kent Myers and company didn't have much trouble moving the ball down the field, with Myers accounting for four total touchdowns (three passing, one rushing) in the blowout.

A dual-threat QB, Myers has helped reverse Utah State's fortunes offensively, although a tough test against the Aztecs awaits. That said, despite being only a sophomore, Myers has five passing touchdowns without throwing one pick and has run for an additional 244 yards and two scores on the ground. His performance in charge of the offense is going to be a key factor into whether the Aggies can notch their fourth straight W.

 

NCAA Football Pick
Both teams have won three games in a row ahead of Friday, but we've been more impressed with Utah State's results and level of competition. That's particularly true of last week, as Utah State jumped all over Boise State and totally dominated the game from start to finish.

This week we look for the Aggies to keep that momentum going with another strong showing on both sides of the ball. We're not sold on San Diego State actually being as good as their 4-2 record may suggest - sure, Pomphrey is a legitimate stud running back, but the Aztecs have mostly been beating up on weak teams when they've been winning this season.

Meanwhile, Utah State has already faced some very good teams and more than held their own. So, we have a feeling the Aggies will be prepared for this trip and that they'll win by at least five points. 

College Football Pick: Utah State Aggies -5 at 5Dimes

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