MAC Week 5 Overview: Chippewas to Hang Tough Enough vs. Spartans

Tuesday, September 25, 2018 1:48 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 25, 2018 1:48 PM UTC

Michigan State will host Central Michigan on Saturday after posting a solid 35-21 road win over Indiana last week. Let’s look at this game as well as the rest of the action around the MAC this weekend.

<p style="text-align:right"><em><strong>Swinger’s 2018 MAC ATS Record: 2-2</strong></em></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Game Odds">MAC Spotlight: Central Mich. (1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS) at Michigan St. (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, noon ET (FS1)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NCAAF Pick: Central Michigan ATS</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3448265, "sportsbooksIds":[19,1096,139,999996,1275], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>The public will take one look at this game and note that the Spartans, a Big Ten entry, should make short work of their last-place MAC foe on Saturday. Yet, the Spartans have not been overwhelming in their performances this season with a narrow 38-31 win over Utah State as 24-point home chalk, a 16-13 road loss as 4½-point favorites to Arizona State and lastly a 35-21 victory in Indiana as 6½-point favorites. They are 1-2 ATS on the season and those backing the Spartans are hoping that their last game portends good things moving forward.</p><p>Conversely, Central Michigan may be in the basement of the MAC West but they’re doing right by those who have been backing them. The Chippewas are 3-1 against the number and despite the fact they defeated an FCS school last week (Maine) by the rather ho-hum score of 17-6, it proved to be another ATS cover as the <a href="" title="Live NCAAF Odds">college football odds board</a> reflected CMU as touchdown home favorites.</p><p>There are a few things trending here that make the Chips an attractive road dog as they are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games as double-digit underdogs, while Michigan State is 2-6 ATS over their last eight when favored by at least 17 points, while nine of their last 12 wins have come by less than 20 points. The Chippewas’ defense is just tough enough to keep the Spartans’ offense from running away with this. Getting four touchdowns seems like good value, which is why we will back Central Michigan in our <a href="" title="Live NCAAF Picks">college football picks</a>.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Chippewa Rewind Episode 4 is here! Take an inside look at some of the key moments that helped propel the Chippewas to victory over Maine! &lt;a href=\";amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#FireUpChips&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— CMU Football (@CMU_Football) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;September 24, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Around the MAC (All Games Saturday)</h2><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Army at Buffalo (-9½)</a>, noon ET</strong>: Buffalo star wideout Anthony Johnson is probable for this clash with Army, which is good news for the Bulls but still doesn’t warrant an almost double-digit head start for Army. Some suspect a letdown for the Knights after they battled fiercely against No. 5 Oklahoma in a 28-21 loss last week as 28-point road dogs but I believe they’re good enough to keep pace with the undefeated Bulls.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Bowling Green at Georgia Tech (-27½)</a>, noon ET: </strong>All signs point to betting the 1-3 Yellow Jackets as a square play but Bowling Green sustained several injuries in their only win of the season over Eastern Kentucky and is 0-4 ATS as they head into Atlanta. Georgia Tech is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">UMass at Ohio (-13)</a>, 2 p.m. ET, on ESPN3: </strong>We see a bit of value here with the Minutemen as we believe they are better with their backup Michael Curtis than the incumbent starter Andrew Ford. Ford has an undisclosed injury that he sustained against Florida International two weeks ago and Curtis took the helm last week and was solid in a 49-31 victory over Charlotte. Grab the points.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Kent State at Ball State (-8½)</a>, 3 p.m. ET: </strong>Both conference foes enter this matchup with 1-3 records but the Golden Flashes are 3-1 ATS and played Illinois and Ole Miss tough enough on the road to get the cover. Grab the points.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Western Michigan at Miami-Ohio (-2)</a>, 3:30 p.m. ET: </strong>The Broncos got blasted 49-3 by nationally ranked Michigan but have defeated their last two opponents, both FCS schools, by a combined 102-15 margin. Western Michigan even put up 42 points against Syracuse in a 13-point loss to open the season, which means bad news for the RedHawks’ defense.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan (-4)</a>, 6 p.m. ET:</strong> Northern Illinois limps into this one after dropping three of their first four and failing to cover the number against Florida State last week (and getting us an ATS cover with the Noles in our MAC Spotlight play). However, the Huskies are 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS over their last 10 meetings with Eastern Michigan.</p><p><strong><a href="" title="Game Odds">Toledo at Fresno State (-7½)</a>, 10:30 p.m. ET, on ESPNU: </strong>Both teams check in with a 2-1 straight up and ATS mark but Fresno State is 9-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over their last nine games in that spot and have covered 10 of their last 12 home games.</p><p><strong>Bye Week: </strong>Akron</p>
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