MAC Week 3 Overview: Toledo Storm Proof Against Miami

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, September 11, 2018 1:29 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 11, 2018 1:29 PM UTC

Miami and Toledo are both coming off blowout wins last week but the Hurricanes are a double-digit road favorite nonetheless. Let’s break down this game and check out all the other action in the MAC.

Swinger’s 2018 MAC Record: 1-1 ATS

MAC Spotlight: Miami (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) at Toledo (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)Saturday, Noon ET (ESPN 2)Free NCAAF Pick: Toledo +10 ½Best Line Offered: Bovada

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The college football odds board reflected Toledo as 48 ½ point home favorites over VMI in the opening week of the season and it still wasn’t enough for a Keydets cover. When the final gun sounded the Rockets rolled to a 66-3 victory off of a three-touchdown passing performance by junior Mitchell Guadagni. Three Toledo QB’s saw action in the mercy killing and rung up 390 combined passing yards while five rushing touchdowns were scored producing 213 yards on the ground. The Rockets’ defense held VMI to just 235 combined yards and a field goal.

The Hurricanes were still smarting from their opening week loss to LSU and Savannah State was in the unfortunate position of being the next team up for Miami to knock down. And that is precisely what they did as the quarterback tandem of Malik Rosier and N’Kosi Perry went 8-of-12 for 131 yards with two touchdowns and 9-of-14 for 93 yards and three touchdowns respectively en route to a 77-0 destruction of the Tigers.

Miami hosted Toledo nearly a year ago and claimed a 52-30 victory as 13 ½ point home chalk. This year the number has dropped but that is also a reflection of the home venue for Toledo. The Rockets’ defense projects to be sounder than last year but wasn’t truly tested in their opener by an inept VMI offense. The Hurricanes will obviously pose a much greater threat but Toledo has had two weeks to prepare for this one while Miami has several backups that are questionable for this tilt with Toledo. Watch the Rockets hang tough with the Canes and back Toledo in your college football picks.

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One of the shortest punt return TDs in the history of football. #SCtop10

(via @BCSNsports) pic.twitter.com/CVzYRMwYmS

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) 2 de setembro de 2018
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Around the MAC (All Games Saturday)

Kent State at Penn State (-34), noon ET, on FS-1: Kent State rebounded after a tough loss to Illinois in their opener to crush Howard 54-14 last week but the trends are dubious as they face a nationally ranked power in Penn State. The Golden Flashes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a win and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 on grass. Conversely, Miami is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Both stats apply as the Nittany Lions roared to a 51-6 demolition of Pittsburgh last week as seven-point road favorites.

Ball State at Indiana (-14), noon ET, on BTN: Ball State may be 1-1 on the year but they have two ATS covers with the most recent being an impressive 24-16 hang-around loss to Notre Dame as 34-point road pups. The Hoosiers are 2-0 straight up but 0-2 against the number and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Ohio at Virginia (-6), 3:30 p.m. ET, on ESPN +: There was nothing impressive about Ohio’s six-point win over Howard when you consider the Bobcats were 31-point home favorites. Well, they’ve had two weeks to cringe over their shoddy performance and look like live dogs this week as they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus an ACC foe.

Central Michigan at Northern Illinois (-14), 3:30 p.m. ET, on ESPN +: Neither team has been particularly competitive in their first two contests which is a pretty good reason why both schools are 0-2 straight up as they prepare for this Saturday’s MAC showdown. Therefore, the two TD head start for the Chippewas seems like value when you also consider they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last six road contests.

Miami (OH) at Minnesota (-14), 3:30 p.m. ET, on: Minnesota won the game last week against Fresno State but suffered a big casualty losing star running back Rodney Smith for the season. Nevertheless, freshman Bryce Williams has looked sharp in a backup role and the Gophers should have little problem against a RedHawks team that is 0-2 straight up and ATS while currently 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference matchups.

Eastern Kentucky at Bowling Green (TBD), 4:00 p.m. ET, on ESPN+: A cupcake is just what the Falcons need after getting blown out in their first two games. Eastern Kentucky should be an easy W for Bowling Green and check out 5Dimes as game day approaches for their college extra lines on games like this.

Eastern Michigan at Buffalo (-5), 6:00 p.m. ET, on ESPN+: Eastern Michigan is coming off a stunning 20-19 win over Purdue as 15-point road dogs but that could be a spot for a letdown against a Buffalo team that is 2-0 on the season and earned a nice win over Temple last week. The Bills are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Delaware State at Western Michigan (TBD), 7:00 p.m. ET, on ESPN+: The Broncos get a reprieve after losing their first two games to Syracuse and Michigan as they prepare for FCS opponent Delaware State. Check out 5Dimes’ college extra slate as this game approaches.

Akron at Northwestern (-21), 7:30 p.m. ET, on BTN: Northwestern is still smarting after a 21-7 loss at home to Duke while Akron is fresh off a 41-7 blowout of lightly regarded Morgan State. Yet the trends say the Wildcats are in good shape for this one as they are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game while the Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten opponents.

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