Buffalo Better Than Kent State, but Flashes Stay Within Big Number

kent state buffalo

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, November 4, 2018 10:11 PM UTC

Sunday, Nov. 4, 2018 10:11 PM UTC

The University of Buffalo can inch closer to the Mid-American Conference’s East Division title with a win over a bad Kent State team in Tuesday MACtion.

Kent State (2-7 SU, 6-3 ATS) at Buffalo (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS)Tuesday, 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU)Free NCAAF Pick: Flashes ATS (at +21.5 or higher)Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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The Mid-American Conference again has Tuesday night football all to itself this week in what appears to be one of the biggest mismatches of the year in the MAC with Kent State visiting Buffalo.

If there are five programs worse nationally than Kent State, I’d sure like to know what they are. The Golden Flashes will finish with a non-winning record for the 15th time in the past 17 years. The only outliers: a 6-6 record in 2006 under Doug Martin and an improbable 11-3 mark and bowl trip in 2012 under Darrell Hazell, who was then hired at Purdue and flopped. The school has played in just two bowls all-time and yet to win one.

Buffalo is 11-10 all-time vs. Kent State. The Flashes won 44-20 in 2016 in Buffalo but lost 27-13 last year at home. Bulls running back Emmanuel Reed, who is still around, rushed for 144 yards and three scores in 2017. He was the first Buffalo tailback with three rushing touchdowns since 2014. The Bulls have won their last six games at Kent State.

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ICYMI: Check out this recap of last night's thrilling win over Miami. #UBhornsUP pic.twitter.com/9QQmeADAnx

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Buffalo Closing on MAC East Title

We recommended MAC East-leading Buffalo at -7 last Tuesday vs. Miami of Ohio and that was a winner as the Bulls prevailed 51-42. Quarterback Tyree Jackson had one of the best games in school history, throwing for 358 yards and three scores and running for three more. Ditto receiver Anthony Johnson, who caught eight passes for 238 yards (school record) and three scores. The points scored were a season high for Buffalo, which had 505 yards of offense.

If one wants to nitpick, Buffalo entered leading the MAC in defense and struggled, but that unit did come up late when needed. Kadofi Wright had a strip sack that was recovered by James Patterson to helped seal it. Khalil Hodge had 11 tackles, a sack and two tackles for loss.

Kent State got the first MAC win (and FBS victory) for first-year coach Sean Lewis last Tuesday, ending a six-game losing streak and winning at Bowling Green 35-28. Jo-El Shaw scored the winning touchdown on an 18-yard run with just under two minutes to go in a back-and-forth game. Shaw, a redshirt freshman, was the workhorse due to starting RB Justin Rankin being sidelined (late scratch and in concussion protocol). Shaw carried 26 times for 128 yards and two scores and caught at TD pass.

With 18 seconds left, Kent State linebacker Kesean Gamble intercepted a Jarrett Doege pass to end it. Flashes QB Woody Barrett threw for two scores and rushed for one. He did have a fumble that led to BGSU tying it at 28. It was the Golden Flashes' first win in their last six tries against the Falcons. Kent State's 35 points were the most against an FBS opponent since 2016 and it was the school’s first road win since 2016.

  • Road team is 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
  • Golden Flashes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Buffalo.
  • Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November.

I could see Buffalo looking past Kent State a bit and toward next week’s huge matchup at Ohio, which should decide the MAC East. We’ll take all those points for a Tuesday NCAAF pick.

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