LSU vs Alabama: Make Tigers at Plus Odds the College Football Pick

David Lawrence

Tuesday, November 3, 2015 4:17 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2015 4:17 PM GMT

The LSU Tigers & Alabama Crimson Tide are in different positions. Those details will fade in significance when this game starts, Which powerhouse will be the college football pick?

Momentum
The Tigers and the Tide are both coming off bye weeks preceding this showdown. LSU had beaten Western Kentucky in its previous game, and Alabama fought past Tennessee in what was an uncomfortably close game for the Crimson Tide. These two teams seem to occupy similar identities on offense. Their quarterbacks, Brandon Harris of LSU and Jacob Coker of Alabama, are both inconsistent passers who have not lit up the scoreboard and have not yet come through in a really big game. LSU’s win over Florida was good, and Alabama beat Texas A&M on the road, but neither one of those wins are headline-grabbing achievements, especially since Florida was going into that LSU game with Treon Harris, a backup, at quarterback. Harris and Coker don’t have a lot of momentum going into this game, and it seems that in what figures to be a tight defensive slugfest, one or two mistakes by a quarterback will be the difference. Can you really read anything into the past? Can you determine which team has a clear advantage in terms of momentum? It doesn’t seem that you can or should.

 

Line Moves
Alabama started as a seven-point favorite, and those college football odds has moved down to six points. Bettors are not convinced that just because Alabama is at home, things are going to flow in the Tide’s direction. Alabama struggled with Tennessee and Arkansas at home and lost to Ole Miss at home. Given that Ole Miss has not looked very strong in recent weeks, that loss gets worse, not better, as the season continues. Alabama is getting a lot of respect with the line being at six. Expect it to continue to drop as kickoff nears.

 

Notable Injuries
LSU defensive tackle Christian LaCouture is probable for this game with a foot injury. Cornerback Tre’Davious White is probable with an undisclosed condition. Offensive lineman Chidi Valentine-Okeke is out for the season as a medical redshirt. Tight end John David Moore is probable with a knee injury. Tight end Dillon Gordon is out for the season with an Achilles injury.

Alabama has backup quarterback Blake Barnett listed as questionable with an undisclosed condition. Backup placekicker Gunnar Raborn has been suspended. Wide receiver Robert Foster is out for the season with a rotator cuff injury.

 

Handicapping The Game
The battle of the quarterbacks is what is impossible to look away from. Jacob Coker is the home-team quarterback here, and he has not been comfortable at home. This feels like a game in which turnovers will matter, and Coker has not shown that he can reliably protect the ball on a relentlessly consistent basis. Take LSU plus the points for your college football picks.

College Football Pick: LSU +6.5 at 5Dimes

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