LSU vs. Alabama: College Football Picks

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, November 5, 2013 2:47 PM GMT

The Alabama Crimson Tide occupy the top spot in the BCS standings, as they prepare to host the LSU Tigers Saturday night. How have odds makers set the lines in this game, and where are we looking to place our college football picks in what should be the weekend's biggest event.

Let’s take a closer look at the college football odds for this Southeastern Conference matchup at Bryant-Denny Stadium, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Take a look at our SBR's College Football Picks for Week 11 Betting Odds Report

Plenty of weapons 

LSU is fourth in the SEC in averaging 40.2 points and 480.0 yards per game, with quarterback Zach Mettenberger being the leader of the offense, while having wide receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry to target downfield.

Mettenberger is just eight yards shy of becoming the first player in school history to throw for 2,500 yards or more in back-to-back seasons.  He completed 24 of 35 passes for 298 yards and a touchdown in last year’s 21-17 loss to the Crimson Tide.

Shutdown mode

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 8-0 SU and 5-3 ATS through eight games of the season, as the program continues to get better and better each week, which is clearly on display in allowing just 12.7 first downs per game over its last six contests.

Over that particular span, the Crimson Tide have outgained opponents by a staggering 253.5 yards per game.

The program has thrown just 32 fourth-quarter passes the entire 2013 campaign.

Little success in this situation

College football handicappers may have an interest in backing the road underdog in this spot, but the Tigers are just 2-10-1 SU all-time when taking on the No. 1 team in the country.

LSU does own more wins over Alabama than any team in the nation since 2000, while capturing five of its last six trips to Tuscaloosa.

McCarron

Crimson Tide quarterback AJ McCarron has compiled a 33-2 record during his time on campus, while he’s being protected by an offensive line that hasn’t allowed a sack in its last 17 quarters of action.

McCarron has completed 72.6 percent of his passes for 1,752 yards and 15 touchdowns with just two interceptions over his last seven games.

[gameodds]6/241553/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Crimson Tide with their College Football picks, as they’ve gone 7-0 ATS in their last seven SU wins as a favorite of 10 to 14 points.

College Football Pick:  Alabama Crimson Tide -11