Look 'Under' With Iowa vs. Pittsburgh NCAAF Picks

Jeff Grant

Monday, September 15, 2014 2:41 PM UTC

Monday, Sep. 15, 2014 2:41 PM UTC

The Pittsburgh Panthers have been rolling offensively in the early going this season, but they’ll struggle to score points against the Iowa Hawkeyes in Week 4 Saturday. Find out why we believe the total offers the best college football betting value in this battle.

A Disappointing Loss
Iowa’s last four losses to Iowa State have been by a combined 11 points, as it looks to bounce back from a 20-17 setback as 13.5-point home favorites in that in-state rivalry last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total for a second consecutive contest.

Hawkeyes quarterback Jake Rudock passed for just 146 yards last week, which is important to consider when making your Week 4 NCAA football predictions, but he did become the 11th player in school history to surpass 3,000 career passing yards.

College football handicappers will find that the team is 38-18-1 ATS in its last 57 games following a SU loss, while the OVER is on a 5-2 run in that situation.


Pounding the Football
Pittsburgh is eyeing a 4-0 start for the first time since the 2000 campaign, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NCAA football odds, as it returns home after picking up a 42-25 victory over the FIU Golden Panthers as 24.5-point road favorites.

The Panthers have out-gained their first three opponents by a combined 711 yards, with sophomore tailback James Conner doing most of the work—leading the country with eight rushing touchdowns and sitting behind just one player in gaining 544 yards on the ground.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the program is 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 10 points, with the UNDER going 5-2-1 in those eight opportunities.


The Hawkeyes will be ready to play this game under head coach Kirk Ferentz, considering he graduated from nearby Upper St. Clair High School in the Pittsburgh area, while he also served as a graduate assistant on Jackie Sherrill’s 1980 Pitt staff.

During his time in Iowa City, Ferentz has compiled a 110-80 record—earning Big Ten Conference Coach of the Year honors in 2002, 2004 and 2009.


The Panthers are starting to flourish offensively in head coach Paul Chryst’s third year on campus, as they rank 15th in the country in averaging 44.7 points per game this season, while also scoring 30-plus points in five consecutive contests dating back to 2013.

It’s important to point out that Chryst matched up with Iowa as Wisconsin’s offensive coordinator from 2006-11, with his teams averaging 18 points in five meetings over that time period.


I’m going to recommend that readers play the total when it becomes available as one of their College Football picks, as the UNDER is 35-15-2 in the Hawkeyes last 52 road games.

Iowa has also gone below the posted College Football odds in its last three games following a loss as a double-digit favorite.

Free College Football Pick:  Under

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