Lock Michigan State -6 at Nebraska With Your College Football Picks

Steven Suarez

Friday, November 6, 2015 10:39 PM GMT

Still undefeated this season, the Spartans are favored to keep that streak alive, with college football odds makers pricing them as six-point chalk. What's the best play here?

Odds Overview
The Spartans still have a spotless record, which they'll look to preserve when they take on Nebraska in Lincoln this weekend. Current college football odds show Michigan State favored by six across a good chunk of the most popular online sportsbooks.

Want to try and beat the posted total instead of trying to pick apart the spread? The O/U is at 57.5 points right now, with both teams having averaged an even 33.0 points per game ahead of Saturday's Big Ten showdown.

 

Nebraska Cornhuskers
There's been little semblance of consistency to Nebraska's play this season. Overall, it's been another disappointing year, as the Cornhuskers are middling away with a 3-6 record, which includes a forgettable 1-4 mark in conference play. Nebraska is currently dead last in the Big Ten West heading into the weekend.

Last week, the Cornhuskers fell short in a 55-45 shootout loss on the road against Purdue. Filling in for an injured Tommy Armstrong Jr., Ryker Fyfe threw for 407 yards with four touchdowns, but was also picked off four times. Defensively the team was terrible, allowing opposing QB David Blough to account for five total TDs.

The good news for Nebraska, ahead of Saturday's crunch matchup with Michigan State, is Armstrong Jr. is expected to play this coming Saturday. He's enjoyed a fine individual season, throwing for 16 touchdowns against only seven interceptions, while running for 257 yards and four additional scores with his legs. While Nebraska has had plenty of success offensively, particularly in recent weeks, they've been very poor defensively, and that's been a common trend throughout the year. 

 

Michigan State Spartans
So far, there's been little to complain about if you're associated with Michigan State in any way. The Spartans are a perfect 8-0 on the season and are ranked #6 in the AP and #7 in the Coaches poll. They've already beaten two ranked teams in Michigan and Oregon, and have won a lot of close games to prove they have the moxie to hang on in the face of adversity.

That will be needed again this weekend for this trip to Lincoln, but Michigan State should be feeling pretty darn confident after a 52-26 drubbing of a decent Indiana team last week. Connor Cook had little trouble picking apart the Hoosiers, throwing for 398 yards and four touchdowns, with Aaron Burbridge catching eight balls for 128 yards and one score and R.J. Shelton posting six catches for 76 yards and two TDs. Tight end Josiah Price also found the end zone in the blowout win at home.

Cook and company have to be licking their chops at another highly favorable matchup this weekend, this time against a leaky Nebraska secondary. Cook should have another big day.

 

Betting Analysis
This sets up as a nice spot for the Spartans to keep the good times rolling, as they come up against a brutal Nebraska pass defense. Cook and Burbridge should have a field day in this one, and that's one of the big reasons we like Michigan State to cover the number.

What's more, the Spartans defense has been far superior throughout the season, so we think they'll be able to keep the Cornhuskers' offense from exploding. Plus, they've already proven they can win tough games on the road; just look at that crazy victory over Michigan a couple weeks ago for reference there.

As you can probably tell, we're liking Michigan State's chances of adding another win to their already impressive resume. As one of the most balanced teams out there, the Spartans should prove too much despite what promises to be a tough environment to cope with. We're backing the favorites with our college football picks.

College Football Picks: Michigan State Spartans -6 at Bovada

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