Lean on Buffalo -1.5 Over Nevada: Free College Football Pick

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, September 23, 2015 12:54 PM GMT

We’re going to take an early look at Saturday’s college football non-conference matchup between Nevada and Buffalo. Go inside to read this insightful betting preview article concluded by a point spread pick.

Rare MAC versus MWC Clash in Buffalo
Buffalo will entertain Nevada on Saturday at UB Stadium with an opening kickoff slated for 3:30 PM ET. Early (9/22) college football betting odds indicate that Buffalo is a 2.0 point favorite everywhere but 5Dimes who lists them at 1.5, and the posted total at major sportsbooks ranges from 56.0 to 57.0. These schools have met only once on the gridiron and that came way back in 2004. Nevada won that encounter by a score of 38-13 at home.

Tough Turnaround for Wolfpack
Nevada comes off a valiant effort last Saturday at #14 Texas A&M. Unfortunately the Wolfpack came up short in a 31-17 loss, but easily covered as a 31.5 point underdog. Two weeks ago they hosted #16 Arizona but once again were on the losing end of a 44-20 final score. The level of competition should certainly help them against Buffalo. However, they will have to make a 4.5 hour plane ride and travel across three time zones to take on the Bulls.

 

Buffalo showing Signs of Improvement in 2015
The Buffalo Bulls are off to a 2-1 start. They opened at home against an FCS opponent in Albany and came away with a convincing 51-14 win while easily covering as a 12.0 point favorite. The following week they traveled to Beaver Stadium in State College, Pennsylvania to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions. They gave the 17.0 point home favorite all they can handle during a 27-14 loss. As a matter of fact, Buffalo held a 328 to 285 edge in total yards against their Big Ten opponent. They certainly showed that effort was no fluke last Saturday in a 33-15 road win as a 2.0 point underdog at Florida Atlantic. The Bulls are a superb +7 in the turnover department during it first three games.

 

Final Analysis
Buffalo is 12-3 in their last 15 home games, and that includes a perfect 9-0 when installed as a favorite. I can’t imagine Nevada will be stoked to play against a MAC team on the road, especially after facing two nationally ranked opponents in each of their previous two games. On paper Nevada should have a small edge in overall talent, but the intangibles are too hard to ignore. I like the home team in this matchup for one of my college football picks.

Free College Football Picks: Play Buffalo -1.5 over Nevada at BetOnline.