Late Night College Football Picks for Week 4

Matthew Jordan

Saturday, September 20, 2014 7:08 PM UTC

Saturday, Sep. 20, 2014 7:08 PM UTC

Are you having a productive college football betting week and want to double up before Saturday ends? Or has it been a rough day and you are looking for momentum into NFL Sunday? Here's a look at the four latest starting NCAA games Saturday.

California vs. Arizona (-7.5, 70)
The Wildcats are a legitimate contender in the Pac-12 South in my opinion. Certainly UCLA and USC look beatable, and Arizona State lost its starting QB for perhaps a month. Coach Rich Rodriguez starts freshmen at quarterback and running back, and Anu Solomon leads all FBS freshman QBs with 934 pass yards, while Nick Wilson tops freshman running backs with 449 yards on the ground. Arizona hasn't started 4-0 since 2010. California looks like one of the nation's most improved teams, but there was nowhere to go but up after last year's club went 1-11 and had one of the worst defenses in NCAA history. For example, to open 2013 the Bears were beaten 44-30 at home by Northwestern. This year in the opener in Evanston, Cal won 31-24. The Bears followed that with a 55-14 blowout of Sacramento State. They had two weeks to prepare for this. Cal lost 33-28 at home to Arizona last year. That was the Bears' only loss by less than 14 points. The home team had won the previous six times in this series. These teams usually do play close. A total of 21 of 31 meetings have been decided by one possession or less (eight points), and 10 of those by three points or fewer.
College Football Pick: That half point matters. Cal and the 'over.'

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Oregon vs. Washington State (+23, 75)
Check out my High/Low Spreads & Totals For Week 4 story on this game regarding the total. Long story short: It's the highest total on the board this week and I still recommend the 'over' on the college football odds as these clubs combined for 100 points last year. The Cougars can't stop anyone but will be throwing all night and will be able to put up some points. Will it be enough to cover? Perhaps if Oregon is looking ahead to its next game, Oct. 2 vs. Arizona. The Wildcats stomped Oregon last year to officially end the Ducks' national title  hopes. That loss also proved to knock Oregon out of a BCS bowl. Still, Wazzu lost at home to a mediocre Rutgers team and then by double digits at Nevada.
College Football Pick: Give the points.

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San Diego State vs. Oregon State (-10, 58.5)
The Aztecs opened their season with a blowout of Northern Arizona and then they nearly pulled an upset at then-No. 21 North Carolina on Sept. 6. SDSU led 24-14 early in the fourth quarter. San Diego State had a chance to win in the final minute with first-and-goal at the North Carolina 3, but QB Quinn Kaehler threw his third interception of the day. The Aztecs had 509 yards and held the ball nearly 15 minutes longer than the Heels. Oregon State has one of the nation's better quarterbacks in Sean Mannion. He has thrown for at least 300 yards in victories over Portland State and Hawaii, but both wins were closer than they should have been. Mannion needs 186 passing yards to break the career school record held by Derek Anderson. OSU and SDSU played in San Diego last year with the Beavers as 7-point favorites. San Diego State led 27-14 entering the fourth but lost 34-30. Beavers cornerback Steven Nelson won it with a 16-yard interception return for a score with 2:31 left. Mannion threw for 367 yards and three scores.
College Football Pick: SDSU and 'under.' The Beavers might be looking ahead to next week's Pac-12 opener at USC.

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Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Boise State (-17, 61)
It's the first-ever meeting between these schools. ULL opened with a blowout of Southern but has since been routed by Louisiana Tech and at Mississippi, allowing a combined 104 points and scoring only 35. Turnovers have been a major issue as the Ragin’ Cajuns rank 124th in turnover margin at minus-8. We do have a common opponent to compare here because Boise State lost 35-13 to Ole Miss in the season opener in Atlanta. That game was a slopfest with the teams combining for seven turnovers, including four picks by Boise QB Grant Hedrick. Ole Miss only led 7-6 entering the fourth. BSU has since beaten Colorado State and UConn by double digits. The Broncos are 23rd nationally in turnover margin at plus-3. Boise State ranks second in the nation with seven interceptions. The Broncos have won 17 straight nonconference home games. Bet Boise and the 'under' for your college football picks.
College Football Pick: Hoping this drops to 16.5, but Boise and the 'under.'

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