Kyle Field Cover Curse Continues for Texas A&M vs. Alabama

texas A&M football

Willie Bee

Wednesday, October 4, 2017 12:38 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 4, 2017 12:38 PM GMT

The Dixie Chicken will be hopping in College Station before the Alabama-Texas A&M game Saturday, but our handicapper’s free NCAA football pick says the Aggies will be drowning their sorrows there afterwards.

NCAAF Season Record: 13-17-1 (-5.15)

In hindsight, maybe it wasn’t such a good idea for Texas A&M to beat Alabama in their inaugural SEC clash five years ago. After all, the Crimson Tide have owned the Aggies ever since, and the oddsmakers believe the whippings continue Saturday evening in College Station. ESPN will carry the 7:15 PM (ET) kickoff at Kyle Field, and No. 1 Alabama is favored by 26-26½ after BetOnline initially sent the Tide out -22. Scoreboard bettors are looking at 55 for the total after that number first went out a couple of points higher.

Alabama is looking for its 5th straight win in the rivalry and eighth overall. Texas A&M pulled off the 29-24 upset as a 2-TD dog at Tuscaloosa in 2012, but the Crimson Tide have won the last four while covering three of the victories. The teams split their first two meetings in the Cotton Bowl, Alabama winning in ’42 and the Aggies’ only victory besides 2012 coming in ’68.

 

Aggies Throw True Frosh QB Out Against Tough Bama D

Nick Saban’s side is looking for its third consecutive conference win, and the first two games have been no contests with Alabama cruising to 59-0 and 66-3 victories over Vanderbilt and Ole Miss, respectively. The Crimson Tide topped the NCAA football odds totals both times on their own. They seemingly played down to their opponents in wins over Fresno State and Colorado State, and the defense has surrendered just 10 points in three games vs. Power 5 schools. Alabama is without defensive end Da’Shawn Hand for this one and the next week or two with the senior nursing a knee injury, plus return specialist is Trevon Diggs out with a leg injury.

All signs point to Kevin Sumlin sending true freshman Kellen Mond out to start the game under center against this tough Bama defense. Jake Hubenak is nursing a sore shoulder, and if Mond gets hurt, it might leave another true freshman, Connor Blumrick, to make his collegiate debut. The Aggies have bounced back from their embarrassing season-opening loss at UCLA with four wins, but nothing has come easy, including a pair of poor efforts against Nichols State and Louisiana Lafayette. The ground game came alive late to rally past South Carolina a week ago, and will need major efforts from Trayveon Williams and Keith Ford plus the offensive line to move the ball against the Crimson Tide.

 

Mother Nature, Final Thoughts & A Free Pick

Following a wet middle of the week, skies are supposed to clear in College Station this weekend with the thermometer in the low 80s for the boot. Very little to no wind is in the forecast.

After splitting their first eight SEC games at home against the spread, the Aggies have covered just one of their last 10 conference games at Kyle Field. It’s a big line, and A&M will put the most talent on the field against the Crimson Tide since Alabama played Florida State in Week 1, but I’m going with the visitors for my free college football pick.

Free NCAAF Pick: Alabama -26Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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