Kent State vs. Buffalo: Mid-American Conference NCAAF Pick

Jeff Grant

Monday, November 17, 2014 3:35 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 17, 2014 3:35 PM GMT

Buffalo deserves to be a home favorite in the NCAAF betting odds after its most recent performance, which makes it the clear choice against Kent State Wednesday night.

Disappointing Results
Kent State is 1-9 SU and 4-6 ATS through 10 games, which is important to consider when making your Week 13 college football predictions, as it has out-gained just a single opponent in 2014.

The Golden Flashes have had 22 different players register their first collegiate start under second-year head coach Paul Haynes, who has watched his team fight through adversity during the Mid-American Conference schedule.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the squad is 2-5 SUATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, with the OVER going 4-3 in those seven opportunities.

 

Back In the Win Column
Buffalo snapped a four-game losing streak by picking up a 55-24 blowout victory over the Akron Zips as 3.5-point home underdogs last Tuesday, as the point total was the highest it has ever produced as an FBS program.

The Bulls have captured 11 of their last 13 games played at UB Stadium, which can’t be ignored when looking over the College Football betting odds, but the road team has won the last four meetings of this rivalry.

It’s important to point out that the team is 3-0 SUATS as favorites of 3.5 to 10 points since the start of the 2012 campaign, with the UNDER going 2-1 in that situation.

 

Rushing Battle
The Golden Flashes are 14-2 SU when out-gaining their opponent on the ground since 2012, but they’ve dropped 18 of their last 20 contests when losing the battle in that all-important statistical category.

Kent State has lost the rushing battle in all 10 games, as it has played most of the year without senior running back Trayion Durham, who was the team’s leading rusher from a year ago with 795 yards on 182 carries.

Durham suffered a season-ending foot injury against Northern Illinois on Oct. 4.

 

Scoring Points
The Bulls are averaging 31.4 points heading into this matchup, which is their highest figure as an FBS program, while Joe Licata is the only signal-caller in the MAC that has thrown a touchdown pass in every game this season.

Buffalo struggled to get things going offensively during its previous losing streak, but part of that can be attributed to coordinator Alex Wood taking over the head coaching job after Jeff Quinn was fired a month ago.

 

Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Bulls as one of their midweek College Football picks, as they’ve gone 9-2 ATS in their last 12 games versus a team with a losing record.

Free College Football Pick:  Buffalo Bulls -7 at 5Dimes

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