One fascination football bettors have is following the results of Top 10 teams, since most know and understand oddsmakers will often leave a little extra on these clubs for public consumption.
One aspect often overlooked is the other side of these outcomes, how do teams do that lost to these Top 10 teams the following week. Do the they bounce back or are they beaten again?
There is a football system out there that reads this way: Play On teams in Week 2 that lost by seven or more points against the spread to a Top 10 team the prior week.
These squads are 46-30 ATS over an extended period of time and we have four qualifiers this week. They are Tulsa, UTEP, Indiana and Akron.
At least two are expected to beat the college football odds and third is possible based on past results. Who should we be looking at, time to explore.Keep an Eye on Tulsa and Indiana For Starters
The Golden Hurricane were blown out by Oklahoma State 59-24, but they still managed to gain 432 yards and with their high intensity tempo, did run 98 plays. Tulsa is a two-touchdown favorite over Louisiana, who beat FCS in-state partner S.E. Louisiana 51-48 as 14.5 point favorites and were outgained by 151 yards. Maybe the Ragin' Cajuns were not that excited about playing lower level opponent, however, with how swiftly Tulsa plays, Louisiana could be in peril. Only worry, the Golden Hurricane are 5-15 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.
Was Indiana super pumped for Ohio State and can they take that really good looking passing game on the road? We will find out as the Hoosiers head to Virginia as three-point favorite. The Cavaliers are still in the midst of a major rebuild and as long as Indiana is not flat after Buckeyes battle, they should be a good choice for college football picks.
Miners and Zips Also on the Docket
We are going to pass on having opinion on Akron, since they are hosting Arkansas Pine Bluff from the FCS and at this time there is no line on that contest.
There is a line on UTEP playing fellow Lone State companion Rice, which is the Conference USA opener for both clubs. At one point this week, the Owls were actually as 1.5-point road favorite and have been flipped to +1.5 point underdog.
Coming into the season Rice was supposed to be the better team and even with the line movement, this still remains true since the Miners fall below the traditional three-point home role.
These two teams were shellacked last week by superior opponents and is not easy to make a strong case for either squad at the moment. In my research, I did find that home faves like the Miners at -1.5 with a total of 55.5, are 20-8 ATS.
For my money breaking down this system, I am on Indiana, prefer Tulsa and would lean towards UTEP.